Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · NYSE

Current Price

$20.72

Intrinsic Value

Outside reliable range

What Is Permian Resources Corporation's Intrinsic Value?

The base-case DCF model produces an intrinsic value estimate for Permian Resources Corporation (PR) that falls outside its reliable range, so treat any single number with extra caution. This usually happens with unusual cash flow patterns or rapid recent changes in the business.

How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?

Is Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Undervalued?

Because the model output for PR is outside the reliable range, no undervalued or overvalued read is given here. Use the calculator below to test your own assumptions instead.

Assessment by Charlie Wang, a former auditor

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyPR

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Prime Permian Basin Acreage

Permian Resources holds significant, high-quality acreage in the Permian Basin. This provides access to prolific, low-cost oil and gas reserves, a key differentiator.

Operational Efficiency and Scale

The company demonstrates strong operational execution and benefits from economies of scale in its production activities. This leads to lower per-unit costs and enhanced profitability.

Disciplined Capital Allocation

Permian Resources exhibits a disciplined approach to capital expenditure and a focus on shareholder returns. This prudent financial management supports long-term value creation.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Geological and Drilling Risks

The success of exploration and production is inherently tied to geological uncertainties and the effectiveness of drilling operations. Unforeseen subsurface conditions can lead to higher costs or lower-than-expected reserves.

Midstream Infrastructure Constraints

Access to adequate transportation and processing infrastructure is crucial. Bottlenecks or limitations in midstream capacity can hinder production growth and impact realized prices.

Competition for Talent and Resources

The oil and gas industry faces intense competition for skilled labor and essential equipment. This can lead to increased operating costs and potential delays in project execution.

Base case

PR base case valuation

This DCF estimate is more than double or less than half the market price, which usually means the model assumptions do not fit this stock. Cross-check it with the PE valuation and analyst estimates.

Base case assumptions: 1.4% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 30x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-30.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the PR valuation

Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Permian Resources Corporation respond.

Open DCF Calculator for PR

Or try PE Ratio Valuation for PR

Company Overview

Permian Resources Corporation operates as an independent producer in the oil and natural gas sector, primarily concentrating its efforts on the extraction of crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves within the United States. Its core operational footprint is situated within the Delaware Basin, which is a major sub-basin of the broader Permian Basin. The company's landholdings are predominantly located across Reeves County in West Texas and Lea County, New Mexico. As of December 31, 2021, Permian Resources reported approximately 73,675 net acres under lease or acquisition, along with 991 net mineral acres, all within the Delaware Basin. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc., officially changing its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022. Incorporated in 2015, its corporate headquarters are located in Midland, Texas.

Financial Metrics — PR Stock Valuation Data

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$6.25

FCF/Share (TTM)

$0.42

ROIC (TTM)

n/m

ROE (TTM)

6.3%

P/FCF

51.1x

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

FCF Yield

1.96%

Debt/Equity

0.33x

Based on trailing twelve-month data, PR shows a free cash flow per share of $0.42 and a ROIC of n/m, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 51.1x and FCF yield of 1.96% are important context metrics when evaluating PR's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of PR?

Permian Resources Corporation currently generates $0.42 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $20.72, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.

Is PR undervalued?

PR trades at a P/FCF ratio of 51.1x with a free cash flow yield of 1.96%. A high P/FCF means investors are paying more per dollar of free cash flow, which usually reflects expectations of future growth. However, whether PR is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.

How do I value PR stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Permian Resources Corporation: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($0.42) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting PR's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.33x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to PR?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Permian Resources Corporation, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Oil & Gas Exploration & Production trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars.

How does WACC affect PR stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For PR, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.

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Related Valuations

All Energy valuations

DCF and P/E value PR with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.

Price as of 2026-07-30. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.