Aerospace & Defense · NYSE
Current Price
$260.61
Intrinsic Value
$301.01
+13.4% margin of safety
As of 2026-10-28, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) at $301.01 per share, compared with a market price of $260.61, a margin of safety of +13.4%. The base case assumes 7.4% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $240.05 to $371.23. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
At $260.61, LHX trades about 13.4% below the base-case intrinsic value estimate. That is a real discount, but it stays short of the 30% margin of safety required before calling a stock undervalued.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Government Contract Expertise
L3Harris possesses deep experience navigating complex government procurement processes. This creates high switching costs for defense agencies reliant on their specialized systems and expertise.
↑Technological Integration Capabilities
The company excels at integrating diverse technologies into sophisticated defense platforms. This ability to deliver complex, multi-domain solutions fosters strong customer loyalty and dependence.
↑Established Defense Supply Chain
L3Harris is a critical node in the defense industrial base, with established relationships and production capabilities. This makes them an indispensable partner for long-term defense programs.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Dependence on Government Spending
L3Harris's revenue is heavily tied to U.S. defense budgets. Shifts in government priorities or budget constraints could significantly impact their financial performance.
↓Program Execution and Delays
Complex defense projects are prone to delays and cost overruns. Failure to meet program milestones or budget targets can damage relationships with key government customers.
↓Competition in Niche Markets
While a large player, L3Harris faces intense competition in specific defense technology segments. Smaller, more specialized firms can sometimes offer more innovative or cost-effective solutions.
Base case
Intrinsic Value
$301.01
Margin of safety
+13.4%
Expected annual return
+2.9%
Base case assumptions: 7.4% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 17.28x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-28.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for L3Harris Technologies, Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc. is a prominent technology firm specializing in aerospace and defense, delivering vital, high-stakes solutions to governmental and commercial clients across the globe. Its diverse operations are organized into several key segments: The Integrated Mission Systems division is responsible for providing versatile intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) platforms, alongside various communication technologies. This unit also offers comprehensive support for fleet management, as well as the development, modification, and routine maintenance of sensors for ISR and airborne operations. Furthermore, it develops and integrates specialized mission systems tailored for naval vessels and maritime operations, including sophisticated signals and multi-intelligence platforms, autonomous surface and undersea vehicles, and advanced power and ship control electronics. Cutting-edge electro-optical and infrared technologies are also part of its offerings. The Space and Airborne Systems segment is dedicated to providing sophisticated space payloads, advanced sensor technologies, and complete mission solutions for space-based operations. It also offers secure intelligence and robust cyber defense capabilities, specialized avionics for mission-specific applications, and state-of-the-art electronic warfare systems. The Communication Systems division delivers reliable tactical communication tools and secure, broadband mobile networked communication devices. This encompasses airborne, space, and surface data link terminals, ground stations, and portable tactical satellite communication (SATCOM) systems designed for manned aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and naval vessels. The segment also produces integrated night vision systems, mountable on helmets and weapons, along with radio systems, applications, and equipment essential for critical public safety and professional communication needs. Additionally, it supplies SATCOM terminals and integrated battlefield management networks. Finally, the Aviation Systems segment focuses on defense-oriented aviation products, training for commercial pilots, and mission-critical network solutions for effective air traffic management. Originally established in 1895 as Harris Corporation, the company adopted its current name, L3Harris Technologies, Inc., in June 2019. Its headquarters are located in Melbourne, Florida.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$122.72
FCF/Share (TTM)
$15.03
ROIC (TTM)
5.3%
ROE (TTM)
9.4%
P/FCF
17.3x
EV/EBITDA
14.5x
FCF Yield
5.79%
Debt/Equity
0.53x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, LHX shows a free cash flow per share of $15.03 and a ROIC of 5.3%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 17.3x and FCF yield of 5.79% are important context metrics when evaluating LHX's stock valuation relative to peers.
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. currently generates $15.03 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $260.61, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
LHX trades at a P/FCF ratio of 17.3x with a free cash flow yield of 5.79%. This P/FCF is in a moderate range. However, whether LHX is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on L3Harris Technologies, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($15.03) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Aerospace & Defense industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting LHX's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.53x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For L3Harris Technologies, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Aerospace & Defense trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. LHX's ROIC of 5.3% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For LHX, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 14.5x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value LHX with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-10-28. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.