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››TDG

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Aerospace & Defense · NYSE

Current Price

$1142.74

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate TDG Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on TransDigm Group Incorporated with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. Its Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay panels, hoists, winches and lifting devices, and cargo loading and handling systems. This segment serves engine and power system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, third party maintenance suppliers, military buying agencies, and repair depots. The company's Airframe segment provides engineered latching and locking devices, engineered rods, engineered connectors and elastomer sealing solutions, cockpit security components and systems, cockpit displays, engineered audio, radio and antenna systems, lavatory components, seat belts and safety restraints, engineered and customized interior surfaces and related components, thermal protection and insulation products, lighting and control technology, and parachutes. This segment serves airframe manufacturers, cabin system and subsystem suppliers, airlines, third party maintenance suppliers, military buying agencies, and repair depots. Its Non-aviation segment offers seat belts and safety restraints for ground transportation applications; electro-mechanical actuators for space applications; hydraulic/electromechanical actuators and fuel valves for land-based gas turbines; refueling systems for heavy equipment used in mining, construction, and other industries; and turbine controls for the energy and oil and gas markets. This segment serves off-road vehicle and subsystem suppliers, child restraint system suppliers, and satellite and space system suppliers; and manufacturers of heavy equipment. TransDigm Group Incorporated was founded in 1993 and is based in Cleveland, Ohio.

Financial Metrics — TDG Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

15.0%

ROE (TTM)

-26.6%

FCF Yield

2.91%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, TDG shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 15.0%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 2.91% are important context metrics when evaluating TDG's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of TDG?

The intrinsic value of TDG depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is TDG undervalued?

Whether TDG is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $1142.74. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value TDG stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on TransDigm Group Incorporated: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Aerospace & Defense industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting TDG's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to TDG?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For TransDigm Group Incorporated, this means projecting how much free cash flow the Aerospace & Defense will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. TDG's ROIC of 15.0% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect TDG stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For TDG, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • TDG AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See TDG PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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