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››LMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Aerospace & Defense · NYSE

Current Price

$509.81

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate LMT Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Lockheed Martin Corporation with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Lockheed Martin Corporation, a security and aerospace company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics segment offers combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems; tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems; logistics; fire control systems; mission operations support, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; manned and unmanned ground vehicles; and energy management solutions. The Rotary and Mission Systems segment offers military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment offers satellites; space transportation systems; strategic, advanced strike, and defensive missile systems; and classified systems and services in support of national security systems. This segment also provides network-enabled situational awareness and integrates space and ground-based systems to help its customers gather, analyze, and securely distribute critical intelligence data. It serves primarily serves the U.S. government, as well as foreign military sales contracted through the U.S. government. Lockheed Martin Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Financial Metrics — LMT Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

16.8%

ROE (TTM)

74.5%

FCF Yield

4.82%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, LMT shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 16.8%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 4.82% are important context metrics when evaluating LMT's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of LMT?

The intrinsic value of LMT depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is LMT undervalued?

Whether LMT is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $509.81. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value LMT stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Lockheed Martin Corporation: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Aerospace & Defense industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting LMT's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to LMT?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Lockheed Martin Corporation, this means projecting how much free cash flow the Aerospace & Defense will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. LMT's ROIC of 16.8% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect LMT stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For LMT, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • LMT AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See LMT PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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