Halliburton Company (HAL) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · NYSE
Current Price
$39.60
Intrinsic Value
$58.53
+32.3% margin of safety
What Is Halliburton Company's Intrinsic Value?
As of 2026-06-12, our base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Halliburton Company (HAL) at $58.53 per share, compared with a market price of $39.6, a margin of safety of +32.3%. The base case assumes 13.7% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $47.41 to $71.23. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How our DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Is Halliburton Company (HAL) Undervalued?
At the current price of $39.6, HAL trades well below our base-case intrinsic value estimate, a margin of safety above 30%. By this model the stock looks undervalued, but verify the growth assumptions match your own view before acting.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Integrated Service Offering
Halliburton provides a comprehensive suite of oilfield services, from drilling to completion and production. This integration creates customer stickiness and operational efficiencies.
↑Technological Innovation
The company invests heavily in R&D, developing proprietary technologies for complex well challenges. This leads to superior performance and a competitive edge.
↑Global Scale and Reach
Halliburton's extensive global footprint allows it to serve major oil and gas basins worldwide. This scale provides logistical advantages and market access.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Commodity Price Volatility
Oil and gas prices are inherently volatile, directly impacting demand for Halliburton's services. Downturns can significantly reduce revenue and profitability.
↓Geopolitical Instability
Events like disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz can impact global energy supply chains and demand for exploration and production activities.
↓Regulatory and Environmental Pressures
Increasing environmental regulations and the global energy transition pose long-term challenges to the fossil fuel industry and its service providers.
Base case
HAL base case valuation
Intrinsic Value
$58.53
Margin of safety
+32.3%
Expected annual return
+8.1%
Base case assumptions: 13.7% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 20x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-06-12.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the HAL valuation
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Halliburton Company respond.
Open DCF Calculator for HALCompany Overview
Halliburton Company (HAL) is a global supplier of products and services tailored for the energy sector. Its operations are structured into two primary divisions: Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment focuses on enhancing well output through techniques like stimulation and sand control. It provides cementing services for well integrity, including casing and bonding, alongside a range of specialized downhole completion tools such as intelligent well systems, liner hangers, and multilateral solutions. This segment also supports production with offerings like coiled tubing, hydraulic workover units, pumping, and nitrogen services, in addition to managing pipeline and process services from initial setup (pre-commissioning, commissioning) through ongoing maintenance and eventual retirement (decommissioning). Furthermore, it supplies electrical submersible pumps and delivers artificial lift solutions. The Drilling and Evaluation segment offers a comprehensive suite of drilling fluids, including systems, performance additives, completion fluids, solids control, specialized testing equipment, and waste management services. It also provides chemicals and associated services for oilfield completion, production, and downstream water and process treatment. This division includes advanced drilling systems, wireline and perforating services encompassing open-hole logging and cased-hole slickline operations, and a variety of drill bits (e.g., roller cone, fixed cutter), hole enlargement tools, and coring services. Moreover, it leverages cloud-based digital services and artificial intelligence on an open architecture to deliver subsurface insights, streamline well construction, and optimize reservoir and production management. Specialized testing and subsea services are also offered for reservoir information analysis and optimization strategies, alongside project management and integrated asset management services. Founded in 1919, Halliburton Company maintains its headquarters in Houston, Texas.
Financial Metrics — HAL Stock Valuation Data
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$26.49
FCF/Share (TTM)
$2.00
ROIC (TTM)
9.6%
ROE (TTM)
14.7%
P/FCF
19.7x
EV/EBITDA
10.3x
FCF Yield
5.07%
Debt/Equity
0.75x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, HAL shows a free cash flow per share of $2.00 and a ROIC of 9.6%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 19.7x and FCF yield of 5.07% are important context metrics when evaluating HAL's stock valuation relative to peers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the intrinsic value of HAL?
Halliburton Company currently generates $2.00 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $39.60, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
Is HAL undervalued?
HAL trades at a P/FCF ratio of 19.7x with a free cash flow yield of 5.07%. This P/FCF is in a moderate range. However, whether HAL is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
How do I value HAL stock using DCF?
To perform a DCF valuation on Halliburton Company: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($2.00) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting HAL's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.75x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to HAL?
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Halliburton Company, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Oil & Gas Equipment & Services trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. HAL's ROIC of 9.6% shows moderate capital returns.
How does WACC affect HAL stock valuation?
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For HAL, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 10.3x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
Learn More
- See HAL PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
- DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
- Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
- How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors
Related Valuations
All Energy valuationsDCF and P/E value HAL with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-06-12. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.