当前价格
$136.56
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Emerson Electric Co. 运行完整的 DCF 分析，自动填充基本面数据，可调节假设参数，含敏感性热力图。
Emerson Electric Co., a technology and engineering company, provides various solutions for customers in industrial, commercial, and residential markets in the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company operates through Automation Solutions, and Commercial & Residential Solutions segments. The Automation Solutions segment offers measurement and analytical instrumentation, industrial valves and equipment, and process control software and systems. It serves oil and gas, refining, chemicals, power generation, life sciences, food and beverage, automotive, pulp and paper, metals and mining, and municipal water supplies markets. The Commercial & Residential Solutions segment offers residential and commercial heating and air conditioning products, such as reciprocating and scroll compressors; system protector and flow control devices; standard, programmable, and Wi-Fi thermostats; monitoring equipment and electronic controls for gas and electric heating systems; gas valves for furnaces and water heaters; ignition systems for furnaces; sensors and thermistors for home appliances; and temperature sensors and controls. It also provides reciprocating, scroll, and screw compressors; precision flow controls; system diagnostics and controls; and environmental control systems. In addition, this segment offers air conditioning, refrigeration, and lighting control technologies, as well as facility design and product management, site commissioning, facility monitoring, and energy modeling services; tools for professionals and homeowners; and appliance solutions. Emerson Electric Co. was incorporated in 1890 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
ROIC (TTM)
7.4%
ROE (TTM)
11.6%
FCF Yield
3.35%
基于过去 12 个月的数据，EMR 每股自由现金流为 N/A，投入资本回报率（ROIC）为 7.4%，这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A，FCF 收益率为 3.35%，是评估 EMR 相对估值的重要参考指标。
EMR 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率（WACC）和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上，因此敏感性分析至关重要。
EMR 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $136.56 的比较。正的安全边际（内在价值高于市价）暗示潜在低估，但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Emerson Electric Co. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤：(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础，(2) 根据Industrial - Machinery行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长，(3) 选择反映 EMR 风险的折现率（WACC），(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF（折现现金流）根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Emerson Electric Co.，这意味着预测Industrial - Machinery在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流，再折现到今天的价值。EMR 的 ROIC 为 7.4%，表明公司可能面临产生超过资本成本回报的挑战。
WACC（加权平均资本成本）是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 EMR，资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%，内在价值通常下降 10-15%。
