TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation
Oil & Gas Integrated · NYSE
Current Price
$89.89
Intrinsic Value
$178.62
+49.7% margin of safety
What Is TotalEnergies SE's Intrinsic Value?
As of 2026-08-21, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of TotalEnergies SE (TTE) at $178.62 per share, compared with a market price of $89.89, a margin of safety of +49.7%. The base case assumes 4.1% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $156.38 to $204.9. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Is TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Undervalued?
At the current price of $89.89, TTE trades well below the base-case intrinsic value estimate, a margin of safety above 30%. By this model the stock looks undervalued, but verify the growth assumptions match your own view before acting.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Integrated Value Chain Advantage
TotalEnergies benefits from an integrated model spanning exploration, production, refining, and marketing. This allows for cost efficiencies and greater control over margins across the entire oil and gas value chain.
↑Global Scale and Infrastructure
The company possesses extensive global infrastructure, including pipelines, refineries, and distribution networks. This vast scale creates significant barriers to entry for smaller competitors and ensures reliable product delivery.
↑Diversified Energy Portfolio
While primarily an oil and gas major, TotalEnergies is increasingly investing in renewables. This diversification provides a hedge against volatile fossil fuel prices and positions the company for the energy transition.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Geopolitical Instability
Operations in politically sensitive regions expose TotalEnergies to risks of supply disruptions, nationalization, and regulatory changes. These factors can significantly impact production and profitability.
↓Commodity Price Volatility
The company's earnings are highly sensitive to fluctuations in global oil and gas prices. Sharp declines can severely impact revenue and investment capacity.
↓Energy Transition Uncertainty
The pace and direction of the global energy transition remain uncertain. Significant shifts away from fossil fuels could lead to stranded assets and reduced demand for core products.
Base case
TTE base case valuation
Intrinsic Value
$178.62
Margin of safety
+49.7%
Expected annual return
+14.7%
Base case assumptions: 4.1% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 12.32x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the TTE valuation
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for TotalEnergies SE respond.
Open DCF Calculator for TTECompany Overview
TotalEnergies SE, headquartered in Courbevoie, France, traces its origins back to its incorporation in 1924. Known as TOTAL SE until its rebranding in June 2021, it stands as a global, integrated energy powerhouse. Its extensive worldwide operations are structured across four key business segments: The Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power division encompasses the entire liquefied natural gas (LNG) value chain, from production and shipping to trading and regasification. It also actively trades various energy commodities including liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and electricity, alongside petcoke and sulfur. This segment is deeply involved in natural gas transportation, electricity generation from a diverse mix of sources—ranging from natural gas to wind, solar, hydroelectric, and biogas—as well as energy storage solutions and the development of biomethane facilities. Furthermore, it offers energy efficiency services. Its Exploration & Production arm is dedicated to discovering and extracting crude oil and natural gas deposits. The Refining & Chemicals segment is responsible for refining petrochemicals, such as olefins and aromatics, and producing various polymer derivatives including polyethylene, polypropylene, and polystyrene, as well as hydrocarbon resins. This segment also ventures into biomass conversion and elastomer processing, complemented by the trading and shipping of crude oil and refined petroleum products. Finally, the Marketing & Services division focuses on manufacturing and distributing lubricants, alongside supplying and marketing a wide array of petroleum products. These include bulk fuel, specialized fluids, aviation and marine fuels, compressed natural gas (CNG), LPG, and bitumen. The company further supports its customers with fuel payment solutions and maintains a vast retail network, comprising approximately 16,000 service stations and 25,000 electric vehicle (EV) charging points globally. TotalEnergies also reported substantial combined proved reserves of oil and gas, totaling 12,062 Mboe as of December 31, 2021. Demonstrating its commitment to innovation and sustainability, the company has forged strategic alliances with partners like PureCycle Technologies, Plastic Energy, Freepoint Eco-Systems, and Plastic Omnium for various developmental initiatives.
Financial Metrics — TTE Stock Valuation Data
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$88.29
FCF/Share (TTM)
$7.35
ROIC (TTM)
7.3%
ROE (TTM)
14.8%
P/FCF
12.3x
EV/EBITDA
5.1x
FCF Yield
8.12%
Debt/Equity
0.49x
On a trailing twelve-month basis, TTE generates free cash flow per share of $7.35 alongside a ROIC of 7.3%, both central inputs for a DCF valuation. Its P/FCF ratio of 12.3x and FCF yield of 8.12% then frame how TTE is priced against peers on a cash flow basis.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the intrinsic value of TTE?
TotalEnergies SE currently generates $7.35 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $89.89, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
Is TTE undervalued?
TTE trades at a P/FCF ratio of 12.3x with a free cash flow yield of 8.12%. A low P/FCF means investors are paying less per dollar of free cash flow; whether that is cheap depends on the company's growth, cyclicality, and capital intensity. However, whether TTE is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
How do I value TTE stock using DCF?
To perform a DCF valuation on TotalEnergies SE: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($7.35) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Oil & Gas Integrated industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting TTE's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.49x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to TTE?
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For TotalEnergies SE, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Oil & Gas Integrated trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. TTE's ROIC of 7.3% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
How does WACC affect TTE stock valuation?
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For TTE, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 5.1x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
Learn More
- See TTE PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
- DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
- Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
- How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors
Related Valuations
All Energy valuationsDCF and P/E value TTE with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.