Residential Construction · NYSE
Current Price
$87.02
Intrinsic Value
$76.34
-14.0% margin of safety
As of 2026-08-21, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Lennar Corporation (LEN) at $76.34 per share, compared with a market price of $87.02, a margin of safety of -14.0%. The base case assumes 3.0% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $63.26 to $91.33. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
At $87.02, LEN trades about 14.0% above the base-case intrinsic value estimate, a modest premium. By this model the price sits within a normal band, though faster growth than assumed would change the picture.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Scale and Purchasing Power
Lennar's massive scale allows for significant purchasing power with suppliers. This leads to lower costs for materials and labor, creating a pricing advantage over smaller competitors.
↑Brand Recognition and Trust
As a leading national homebuilder, Lennar benefits from strong brand recognition. This fosters trust with homebuyers, potentially reducing perceived risk and influencing purchasing decisions.
↑Diversified Product Offerings
Lennar offers a wide range of home types and price points across various markets. This diversification reduces reliance on any single segment and appeals to a broader customer base.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Housing Market Cyclicality
The residential construction industry is inherently cyclical and sensitive to economic downturns. A significant recession could lead to reduced demand and profitability.
↓Labor and Material Shortages
Persistent shortages in skilled labor and construction materials can increase costs and delay project completion. This impacts Lennar's ability to meet demand efficiently.
↓Regulatory and Land Use Hurdles
Navigating complex zoning laws, permitting processes, and environmental regulations can be time-consuming and costly. These hurdles can limit expansion and increase development expenses.
Base case
Intrinsic Value
$76.34
Margin of safety
-14.0%
Expected annual return
-2.6%
Base case assumptions: 3.0% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 26.29x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Lennar Corporation respond.
Open DCF Calculator for LENLennar Corporation, an influential homebuilder in the United States, operates primarily under its widely recognized Lennar brand, alongside its various subsidiaries. The company structures its diverse business initiatives across several distinct divisions: regional homebuilding segments (East, Central, Texas, and West), a Financial Services arm, a Multifamily property development unit, and a broader "Lennar Other" category. At the heart of its operations, Lennar is deeply involved in the creation and sale of single-family homes, encompassing both attached and detached designs. Its activities also span the acquisition, development, and subsequent sale of land designated for residential use, in addition to the comprehensive development, construction, and ongoing management of rental properties in the multifamily sector. Expanding beyond physical construction, Lennar provides essential services such as residential mortgage financing, title protection, and closing services for its clientele and other interested parties. It also actively originates and divests securitized commercial mortgage loans. Furthermore, the corporation participates in strategic fund investment endeavors. Lennar's extensive customer base primarily caters to first-time purchasers, individuals seeking to upgrade their homes, active adult communities, and the luxury housing market. This enterprise, founded in 1954, is officially based in Miami, Florida.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$134.94
FCF/Share (TTM)
$3.39
ROIC (TTM)
4.6%
ROE (TTM)
7.4%
P/FCF
26.3x
EV/EBITDA
11.1x
FCF Yield
3.80%
Debt/Equity
0.29x
On a trailing twelve-month basis, LEN generates free cash flow per share of $3.39 alongside a ROIC of 4.6%, both central inputs for a DCF valuation. Its P/FCF ratio of 26.3x and FCF yield of 3.80% then frame how LEN is priced against peers on a cash flow basis.
Lennar Corporation currently generates $3.39 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $87.02, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
LEN trades at a P/FCF ratio of 26.3x with a free cash flow yield of 3.80%. This P/FCF is in a moderate range. However, whether LEN is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on Lennar Corporation: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($3.39) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Residential Construction industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting LEN's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.29x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Lennar Corporation, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Residential Construction trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. LEN's ROIC of 4.6% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For LEN, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 11.1x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value LEN with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.