Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation
Specialty Retail · NASDAQ
Current Price
$209.49
Intrinsic Value
$288.66
+27.4% margin of safety
What Is Five Below, Inc.'s Intrinsic Value?
As of 2026-07-29, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) at $288.66 per share, compared with a market price of $209.49, a margin of safety of +27.4%. The base case assumes 12.9% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $237.06 to $347.43. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Is Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Undervalued?
At $209.49, FIVE trades about 27.4% below the base-case intrinsic value estimate. That is a real discount, but it stays short of the 30% margin of safety required before calling a stock undervalued.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Unique Value Proposition
Five Below offers a distinct assortment of trendy, affordable products appealing to a younger demographic. This niche focus creates a loyal customer base seeking specific, low-priced items.
↑Store Experience and Brand
The company cultivates a fun, treasure-hunt shopping experience that differentiates it from traditional discount retailers. This brand perception drives repeat visits and customer engagement.
↑Efficient Supply Chain
Five Below's ability to source and deliver a high volume of diverse, low-cost merchandise is critical. This operational efficiency allows them to maintain attractive price points.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Inventory Management Challenges
Maintaining a constantly fresh and appealing product mix at low price points is complex. Stockouts or carrying unpopular items can negatively impact sales and profitability.
↓Dependence on Specific Demographics
The company's strong reliance on a younger customer base makes it vulnerable to demographic shifts or economic downturns affecting this group's discretionary spending.
↓Supply Chain Disruptions
Global supply chain issues, rising shipping costs, or manufacturing delays can impact Five Below's ability to procure merchandise at desired price points and volumes.
Base case
FIVE base case valuation
Intrinsic Value
$288.66
Margin of safety
+27.4%
Expected annual return
+6.6%
Base case assumptions: 12.9% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 23x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-29.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the FIVE valuation
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Five Below, Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for FIVECompany Overview
Five Below, Inc. operates as a prominent specialty discount retailer primarily serving the United States market. The company's diverse inventory spans a wide array of personal accessories, from fashionable novelty socks, sunglasses, and jewelry to scarves, gloves, hair accessories, and athletic apparel like tops, bottoms, and t-shirts. Shoppers can also find a comprehensive selection of beauty products, including nail polish, lip gloss, fragrances, and various branded cosmetics. For home and personal spaces, Five Below provides an assortment of items such as lamps, posters, picture frames, cozy fleece blankets, plush toys, pillows, candles, incense, and diverse lighting and novelty décor. This section also includes accent furniture and practical storage solutions. Athletic and recreational interests are covered with sports balls, team merchandise, and fitness essentials like hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls. The store also boasts a variety of games, from classic board games and puzzles to collectibles and remote-control toys, alongside seasonal outdoor and water-based fun items for pools and beaches. Furthermore, the company caters to technology enthusiasts with accessories for cell phones, tablets, audio devices, and computers, offering cases, chargers, headphones, and related gadgets. Media products, including books, video games, and DVDs, are also available. Creativity is encouraged through a selection of craft activity kits and art supplies like crayons, markers, and stickers. Students can find school essentials such as backpacks, trendy notebooks and journals, novelty pens and pencils, and locker embellishments. For celebrations, Five Below offers party goods, decorations, gag gifts, and greeting cards, encompassing both everyday and special occasion merchandise. A sweet tooth is satisfied with a range of classic and novelty candy bars, movie-sized boxes, seasonal treats, gum, and snack foods, complemented by chilled beverages. Additionally, the retailer stocks a rotating selection of seasonally-themed items for holiday decorating and events. Initially founded as Cheap Holdings, Inc., the company officially adopted the name Five Below, Inc. in August 2002, the same year it was incorporated. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Financial Metrics — FIVE Stock Valuation Data
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$91.91
FCF/Share (TTM)
$9.14
ROIC (TTM)
9.6%
ROE (TTM)
21.1%
P/FCF
22.9x
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
FCF Yield
4.36%
Debt/Equity
0.86x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, FIVE shows a free cash flow per share of $9.14 and a ROIC of 9.6%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 22.9x and FCF yield of 4.36% are important context metrics when evaluating FIVE's stock valuation relative to peers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the intrinsic value of FIVE?
Five Below, Inc. currently generates $9.14 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $209.49, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
Is FIVE undervalued?
FIVE trades at a P/FCF ratio of 22.9x with a free cash flow yield of 4.36%. This P/FCF is in a moderate range. However, whether FIVE is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
How do I value FIVE stock using DCF?
To perform a DCF valuation on Five Below, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($9.14) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Specialty Retail industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting FIVE's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.86x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to FIVE?
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Five Below, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Specialty Retail trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. FIVE's ROIC of 9.6% shows moderate capital returns.
How does WACC affect FIVE stock valuation?
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For FIVE, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 16.5x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
Learn More
- See FIVE PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
- DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
- Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
- How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors
Related Valuations
All Consumer Cyclical valuationsDCF and P/E value FIVE with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-07-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.