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DCF Valuations›Consumer Cyclical›BURL

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Apparel - Retail · NYSE

Current Price

$316.53

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate BURL Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Burlington Stores, Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

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Or try PE Ratio Valuation for BURL →

Company Overview

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded apparel products in the United States. The company provides fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby, home, and beauty products. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 837 stores under the Burlington Stores name, 2 stores under the Cohoes Fashions name, and 1 store under the MJM Designer Shoes name in 45 states and Puerto Rico. Burlington Stores, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Financial Metrics — BURL Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

9.5%

ROE (TTM)

39.8%

FCF Yield

1.17%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, BURL shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 9.5%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 1.17% are important context metrics when evaluating BURL's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of BURL?

The intrinsic value of BURL depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is BURL undervalued?

Whether BURL is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $316.53. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value BURL stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Burlington Stores, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Apparel - Retail industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting BURL's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to BURL?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Burlington Stores, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Apparel - Retail will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. BURL's ROIC of 9.5% shows moderate capital returns.

How does WACC affect BURL stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For BURL, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • — How to evaluate downside protection
  • — Complete guide for investors

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