当前价格
$516.13
市盈率(TTM)
131.0x
内在价值
$330.15
安全边际 -56.3%
截至 2026-09-11,对 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.(AMD)每股收益 $3.94 套用 50.0x 的盈利倍数,得出每股公允价值估算约 $330.15,当前股价为 $516.13。
基于盈利倍数的公允价值对所选倍数很敏感。在敏感性网格上,估算区间为 $287.49 至 $377.6。这是锚定盈利的相对估算,并非事实定论。如需基于现金流的视角,请参阅 DCF 页面的内在价值估算。
PE 模型如何运作 · 用 PE 模式重新计算 · AMD 内在价值(DCF 视角)
在 $516.13 的价格下,AMD 高于其基于 PE 的公允价值估算,意味着市场为其支付了高于所用盈利倍数的溢价。按此模型,除非盈利成长追上股价,否则该股看起来偏贵。
竞争护城河
↑CPU架构领先
AMD的Zen架构在x86指令集上实现了性能和能效的突破,尤其在服务器和高性能计算领域,其多核优势和创新设计构筑了技术壁垒。
↑数据中心生态
通过EPYC处理器和Instinct加速器,AMD正逐步构建其在数据中心领域的软硬件生态系统,吸引开发者和客户,形成一定的锁定效应。
↑制程工艺合作
与台积电等先进晶圆厂的紧密合作,确保了AMD能够获得最先进的制造工艺,从而在芯片性能和成本上保持竞争力。
投资风险
↓AI市场竞争
AI推理市场的快速发展吸引了众多竞争者,AMD需要持续投入巨资研发,并快速迭代产品以应对来自英伟达、以及潜在新进入者的激烈竞争。
↓客户集中度
虽然数据中心业务增长迅速,但AMD的收入仍可能高度依赖少数大型云服务提供商和企业客户,一旦这些客户需求变化或转向竞争对手,将对其营收产生重大影响。
↓供应链依赖
AMD高度依赖台积电等少数几家先进晶圆厂的产能和技术支持,地缘政治风险或产能波动可能对其生产和交付能力造成冲击。
基准情形
内在价值
$330.15
安全边际
-56.3%
预期年化收益
-8.5%
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 20.0%、目标 P/E 倍数 50x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-09-11。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), established in 1969 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, operates as a global leader in the semiconductor industry. The company organizes its extensive operations into two primary segments: Computing and Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. In its Computing and Graphics division, AMD develops a range of products including x86 microprocessors (often as accelerated processing units), chipsets, and various graphics processing units (GPUs), encompassing discrete, integrated, data center, and professional variants, alongside providing development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment focuses on server and embedded processors, bespoke System-on-Chip (SoC) products, and foundational technology for popular game consoles, also offering associated development support. AMD's diverse product lineup features processors for desktop and notebook personal computers under well-known brands such as AMD Ryzen, Ryzen PRO, Ryzen Threadripper, Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, Athlon PRO, AMD FX, AMD A-Series, and PRO A-Series. Discrete GPUs for these PCs are offered through the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics brands, while professional graphics solutions include AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro. Furthermore, the company provides high-performance accelerators for servers, including Radeon Instinct, Radeon PRO V-series, and AMD Instinct, along with AMD EPYC microprocessors designed for server environments. Its embedded processor solutions span multiple brands, such as AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, AMD R-Series, and G-Series. AMD also produces chipsets under its own trademark and crafts customer-specific solutions leveraging its CPU, GPU, and multimedia expertise, including specialized semi-custom SoC products. AMD reaches its wide array of clients, which comprise original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), public cloud service providers, original design manufacturers (ODMs), system integrators, independent distributors, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company's sales and distribution network includes its direct sales force, independent distributors, and dedicated sales representatives.
市盈率(TTM)
131.0x
PEG 比率
1.06
盈利收益率
0.76%
ROE (TTM)
10.1%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$25.32
Debt/Equity
0.06x
AMD 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Semiconductors同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
AMD 的市盈率 131.0x 结合 PEG 比率 1.06 提供了增长调整后的视角。PEG 接近 1.0 表明市盈率与盈利增速基本匹配。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Semiconductors,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (131.0x)与Semiconductors中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (1.06)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
AMD 的 PEG 比率为 1.06,由市盈率(131.0x)除以预期盈利增速计算。PEG 接近 1.0 意味着市盈率与预期盈利增速大致相符。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——AMD 相对于Semiconductors同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。建议用 PE 做快速筛选,用 DCF 做深度分析。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 AMD 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-09-11。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。