当前价格
$195.04
市盈率(TTM)
29.7x
内在价值
$347.5
安全边际 +43.9%
竞争护城河
↑AI芯片领导者
英伟达在AI芯片领域拥有先发优势和技术领先地位,其GPU架构和CUDA生态系统构成了强大的技术壁垒。
↑CUDA生态系统
CUDA平台及其广泛的开发者社区和软件支持,为英伟达产品创造了极高的客户粘性,增加了竞争对手的进入难度。
↑先见之明
公司长期以来能准确预判技术趋势并提前布局,使其在AI等新兴领域始终保持领先地位。
投资风险
↓AI泡沫担忧
市场对AI行业估值过高存在担忧,一旦AI热潮降温,可能对英伟达的股价和需求产生负面影响。
↓技术迭代风险
AI技术发展迅速,若英伟达未能持续创新,可能被更先进的技术或架构超越。
↓客户集中度
虽然未明确提及,但大型云服务提供商是英伟达的主要客户,其采购策略的变化可能带来风险。
基准情形
按当前股价 $195.04,基准情形的 PE 估值将 NVDA 的公允价值定在每股约 $347.5。该数值假设 20.0% 的年度盈利增长、30x 的目标 PE 倍数和 10% 的折现率。
内在价值
$347.5
安全边际
+43.9%
预期年化收益
+12.2%
基准情形假设:盈利年增长率 20.0%、目标 P/E 倍数 30x、折现率 10%、预测 5 年。数据截至 2026-07-30。
本基准情形采用默认假设,不构成投资建议。当目标 PE 或盈利增长率变化时,公允价值会显著改变。打开计算器可设置你自己的假设,并查看完整的敏感性区间。
NVIDIA Corporation stands as a prominent provider of advanced graphics, computational, and networking solutions, operating across the United States, Taiwan, China, and numerous international markets. Its Graphics division encompasses GeForce GPUs, central to PC gaming and personal computing experiences, along with the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service and its supporting infrastructure, as well as dedicated solutions for various gaming platforms. For professional visualization, it provides Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstations, further offering vGPU software designed for cloud-centric visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for in-vehicle infotainment, and the Omniverse software suite, facilitating 3D design and virtual world creation. The Compute & Networking segment is a cornerstone for AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and accelerated data center platforms. It integrates Mellanox networking and interconnect solutions, delivers automotive AI Cockpit technologies, fosters autonomous driving development through strategic agreements, and offers comprehensive autonomous vehicle solutions. This segment also manufactures cryptocurrency mining processors, supplies Jetson platforms for robotics and other embedded applications, and offers enterprise AI software, including NVIDIA AI Enterprise. These diverse offerings find widespread application across the gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive sectors. NVIDIA distributes its portfolio through a broad ecosystem, engaging original equipment and device manufacturers, system integrators, add-in board makers, retail channels, software vendors, internet and cloud service providers, automotive companies (both manufacturers and tier-1 suppliers), mapping firms, nascent technology ventures, and other industry stakeholders. A notable strategic partnership exists with Kroger Co. Founded in 1993, NVIDIA Corporation maintains its corporate headquarters in Santa Clara, California.
市盈率(TTM)
29.7x
PEG 比率
0.27
盈利收益率
3.37%
ROE (TTM)
111.7%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$10.44
股息率
0.14%
Debt/Equity
0.07x
NVDA 的过去 12 个月市盈率反映投资者为 NVIDIA Corporation 每一美元收益所支付的价格。该指标在与Semiconductors同类公司和公司自身历史区间对比时最有意义。
NVDA 的市盈率 29.7x 结合 PEG 比率 0.27 提供了增长调整后的视角。PEG 低于 1.0 表明市盈率相对于盈利增速偏低。注意 PE 估值最适合盈利稳定的成熟公司——对于高增长或周期性Semiconductors,DCF 分析可能更合适。
对 NVIDIA Corporation 使用 PE 估值的步骤:(1) 将当前市盈率 (29.7x)与Semiconductors中位数对比评估相对定价,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.27)以调整增长预期,(3) 参考 5 年 PE 历史区间判断当前位置,(4) 用目标 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允价值。这种相对估值方法与 DCF 的绝对估值互为补充。
NVDA 的 PEG 比率为 0.27,由市盈率(29.7x)除以预期盈利增速计算。PEG 低于 1.0 意味着市盈率相对于预期盈利增速偏低。注意 PEG 的准确性取决于增长预期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率给出快速的相对定价——NVDA 相对于Semiconductors同类的估值水平。DCF 基于预期自由现金流提供绝对价值。对于 NVDA,ROE 达到 111.7%,两种方法都值得使用——PE 做市场对比,DCF 验证基本面是否支撑当前价格。两种方法各有盲区:PE 忽略了资本结构和现金流质量,DCF 则对增长率和折现率假设非常敏感。
PE 与 DCF 使用不同的方法和假设为 NVDA 估值,因此两者的结论可能不同。可对比 DCF 内在价值。
价格截至 2026-07-30。 财务数据来自 Financial Modeling Prep(过去 12 个月)· 估值方法论由 Charlie Wang 提供。
这是估计值,不构成投资建议。