目前價格
$224.99
PE Ratio (TTM)
20.4x
內在價值
$282.81
安全邊際 +20.4%
競爭護城河
↑客戶黏著度高
Salesforce 的 CRM 平台深度整合客戶的業務流程,高昂的轉換成本和學習曲線,使得客戶難以更換供應商。
↑龐大生態系
Salesforce 建立了一個由合作夥伴、開發者和應用程式組成的廣泛生態系,為客戶提供豐富的附加價值和客製化選項。
↑數據與規模優勢
長年累積的客戶數據和龐大的用戶基礎,讓 Salesforce 在產品開發和服務優化上擁有顯著的規模經濟和數據洞察優勢。
投資風險
↓股票回購策略
近期大規模股票回購可能影響公司現金流和未來投資能力,若回購未能有效提升股東價值,可能引發市場擔憂。
↓AI 整合挑戰
雖然與 Anthropic 的合作顯示其對 AI 的投入,但如何有效整合 AI 技術並轉化為實際營收和競爭優勢,仍面臨執行上的不確定性。
↓市場關注度波動
公司股價受市場情緒影響,近期受到 AI 樂觀情緒推動,但若後續發展不如預期,股價可能面臨回調壓力。
基準情形
CRM 的基準情形 PE 估值估算每股公允價值約為 $282.81,目前股價為 $224.99。該模型假設盈餘年成長率 9.9%、目標 P/E 倍數 19.05x、折現率 10%。
內在價值
$282.81
安全邊際
+20.4%
預期年化報酬
+4.7%
基準情形假設:盈餘年成長率 9.9%、目標 P/E 倍數 19.05x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-10-06。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘成長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Salesforce, Inc. is a leading provider of customer relationship management (CRM) solutions, dedicated to connecting businesses and their clientele on a global scale. At its core, the Customer 360 platform empowers organizations to create seamless, integrated experiences for their customers. The company's extensive suite of services encompasses a wide array of functionalities: Sales: Tools designed to manage sales pipelines, track leads, forecast opportunities, extract data-driven insights through analytics, and streamline the creation of quotes, contracts, and invoices. Service: Capabilities enabling companies to deliver highly personalized, trustworthy, and scalable customer support. Platform: A versatile development environment, featuring intuitive drag-and-drop tools, that allows businesses of diverse sizes, locations, and industries to build tailored applications, thereby strengthening customer relationships. Learning: An online educational platform providing accessible training to acquire sought-after Salesforce skills. Slack: A comprehensive system for team collaboration and engagement. Marketing: Solutions for strategizing, personalizing, and optimizing individual customer marketing journeys. Commerce: Offerings that unify customer interactions across various channels, including mobile, web, social media, and physical retail stores. Tableau: A complete analytics solution addressing a broad spectrum of enterprise data analysis needs. MuleSoft: An integration platform designed to unlock and connect data residing across an organization's various systems. Salesforce's offerings cater to numerous sectors, such as financial services, healthcare, life sciences, and manufacturing, among others. Beyond its core products, the company also provides professional services and conducts both in-person and online courses to certify customers and partners in the architecture, administration, deployment, and development of its services. Its solutions are distributed through direct sales channels, as well as a network of consulting firms, systems integrators, and other strategic partners. Established in 1999, Salesforce, Inc. maintains its headquarters in San Francisco, California.
PE Ratio (TTM)
20.4x
PEG Ratio
0.35
獲利收益率
5.25%
ROE (TTM)
20.2%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$53.58
股息收益率
0.77%
Debt/Equity
1.09x
CRM 的過去 12 個月本益比反映投資者為 Salesforce, Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Software - Application同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
CRM 的本益比 20.4x 結合 PEG 比率 0.35 提供了成長調整後的視角。PEG 低於 1.0 表明 本益比相對於獲利成長率偏低。注意 PE 估值最適合獲利穩定的成熟公司——對於高成長或週期性Software - Application,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Salesforce, Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前本益比 (20.4x)與Software - Application中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (0.35)以調整成長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
CRM 的 PEG 比率為 0.35,由本益比(20.4x)除以預期獲利成長率計算。PEG 低於 1.0 意味著本益比相對於預期獲利成長率偏低。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於成長預期的可靠性。
PE 本益比給出快速的相對定價——CRM 相對於Software - Application同類的估值水準。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。對於 CRM,ROE 達到 20.2%,兩種方法都值得使用——PE 做市場對比,DCF 驗證基本面是否支撐目前價格。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流品質,DCF 則對成長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 CRM 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-10-06。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。