Software - Application · NYSE
当前价格
$179.31
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Salesforce, Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Salesforce, Inc. provides customer relationship management technology that brings companies and customers together worldwide. Its Customer 360 platform empowers its customers to work together to deliver connected experiences for their customers. The company's service offerings include Sales to store data, monitor leads and progress, forecast opportunities, gain insights through analytics and relationship intelligence, and deliver quotes, contracts, and invoices; and Service that enables companies to deliver trusted and highly personalized customer service and support at scale. Its service offerings also comprise flexible platform that enables companies of various sizes, locations, and industries to build business apps to bring them closer to their customers with drag-and-drop tools; online learning platform that allows anyone to learn in-demand Salesforce skills; and Slack, a system of engagement. In addition, the company's service offerings include Marketing offering that enables companies to plan, personalize, and optimize one-to-one customer marketing journeys; and Commerce offering, which empowers brands to unify the customer experience across mobile, web, social, and store commerce points. Further, its service offerings comprise Tableau, an end-to-end analytics solution serving various enterprise use cases; and MuleSoft, an integration offering that allows its customers to unlock data across their enterprise. The company provides its service offering for customers in financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, and other industries. It also offers professional services; and in-person and online courses to certify its customers and partners on architecting, administering, deploying, and developing its service offerings. The company provides its services through direct sales; and consulting firms, systems integrators, and other partners. Salesforce, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
ROIC (TTM)
8.8%
ROE (TTM)
12.4%
FCF Yield
8.57%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,CRM 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 8.8%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 8.57%,是评估 CRM 相对估值的重要参考指标。
CRM 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
CRM 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $179.31 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Salesforce, Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Software - Application行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 CRM 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Salesforce, Inc.,这意味着预测Software - Application在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。CRM 的 ROIC 为 8.8%,显示中等水平的资本回报。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 CRM,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。