Semiconductors · NASDAQ
当前价格
$190.33
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Texas Instruments Incorporated 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Texas Instruments Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductors to electronics designers and manufacturers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog segment offers power products to manage power requirements in various levels using battery-management solutions, DC/DC switching regulators, AC/DC and isolated controllers and converters, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, voltage references, and lighting products. This segment also provides signal chain products that sense, condition, and measure signals to allow information to be transferred or converted for further processing and control for use in end markets, including amplifiers, data converters, interface products, motor drives, clocks, and sensing products. The Embedded Processing segment offers microcontrollers that are used in electronic equipment; digital signal processors for mathematical computations; and applications processors for specific computing activity. This segment offers products for use in various markets, such as industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, enterprise systems, and calculators and other. The company also provides DLP products primarily for use in projectors to create high-definition images; calculators; and application-specific integrated circuits. It markets and sells its semiconductor products through direct sales and distributors, as well as through its website. Texas Instruments Incorporated was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
ROIC (TTM)
16.5%
ROE (TTM)
30.4%
FCF Yield
1.50%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,TXN 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 16.5%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 1.50%,是评估 TXN 相对估值的重要参考指标。
TXN 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
TXN 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $190.33 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Texas Instruments Incorporated 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Semiconductors行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 TXN 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Texas Instruments Incorporated,这意味着预测Semiconductors在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。TXN 的 ROIC 为 16.5%,表明资本效率较高,支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 TXN,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。