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DCF 估值›Consumer Defensive›WMT

Walmart Inc. (WMT) DCF 估值

Discount Stores · NASDAQ

当前价格

$122.89

内在价值

使用下方计算器估算

计算 WMT 内在价值

对 Walmart Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。

打开 WMT DCF 计算器

或试试 WMT PE 市盈率估值 →

公司简介

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, including dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; fuel, tobacco and other categories. It is also involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, and over-the-counter drugs and other medical products; and home and apparel including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses and tire and battery centers. In addition, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Further, it operates digital payment platforms; and offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access. Additionally, the company markets lines of merchandise under private brands, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.

财务指标 — WMT 估值数据

ROIC (TTM)

11.9%

ROE (TTM)

23.7%

FCF Yield

1.52%

基于过去 12 个月的数据,WMT 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 11.9%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 1.52%,是评估 WMT 相对估值的重要参考指标。

常见问题

WMT 的内在价值是多少?

WMT 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。

WMT 被低估了吗?

WMT 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $122.89 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。

如何使用 DCF 对 WMT 进行估值?

对 Walmart Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Discount Stores行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 WMT 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。

什么是 DCF 估值,如何应用于 WMT?

DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Walmart Inc.,这意味着预测Discount Stores在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。WMT 的 ROIC 为 11.9%,显示中等水平的资本回报。

WACC 如何影响 WMT 的估值?

WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 WMT,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。

了解更多

  • — AI 生成的竞争护城河与投资风险深度分析
  • — 基于收益的 PE 市盈率估值分析
  • — 折现现金流分析分步指南
  • — PE 市盈率估值指南
  • — 理解 DCF 中使用的折现率
  • — 如何评估下行保护
  • — 投资者完整指南

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