目前價格
$114.55
PE Ratio (TTM)
40.2x
內在價值
$124.35
安全邊際 +7.9%
截至 2026-06-29,對 Walmart Inc.(WMT)每股收益 $2.89 套用 40.0x 的盈利倍數,得出每股公允價值估算約 $124.35,目前股價為 $114.55。
基於盈利倍數的公允價值對所選倍數很敏感。在敏感度網格上,估算區間為 $106.3 至 $144.69。這是錨定盈利的相對估算,並非事實定論。如需基於現金流的視角,請參閱 DCF 頁面的內在價值估算。
我們的 PE 模型如何運作 · 用 PE 模式重新計算 · WMT 內在價值(DCF 視角)
在 $114.55 的價格下,WMT 的交易價比其基於 PE 的公允價值估算低約 7.9%,相對其盈利能力有一定折讓,但還不足以讓我們直接稱其便宜。
競爭護城河
↑規模經濟優勢
沃爾瑪龐大的採購量與物流網絡,使其能以極低的成本採購商品並配送,形成難以複製的價格競爭力。
↑品牌忠誠度
長期以來,沃爾瑪以其高性價比的商品贏得廣泛消費者信任,建立起穩固的客戶基礎與品牌聲譽。
↑全通路整合
透過實體店與線上平台緊密結合,並拓展如Subway的店內餐飲外送服務,提供消費者便利多元的購物體驗,鞏固客戶黏著度。
投資風險
↓競爭加劇
亞馬遜等電商巨頭及其他零售商在價格、便利性和商品種類上的競爭日益激烈,持續侵蝕沃爾瑪的市場份額。
↓勞動力成本
不斷上升的最低工資與勞動力短缺,可能增加沃爾瑪的營運成本,影響其價格優勢。
↓轉型挑戰
儘管積極拓展線上業務,但轉型過程中仍面臨技術投資、消費者習慣改變及實體店轉型等挑戰。
基準情形
內在價值
$124.35
安全邊際
+7.9%
預期年化報酬
+1.7%
基準情形假設:盈餘年增長率 9.0%、目標 P/E 倍數 40x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-06-29。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘增長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company engages customers through numerous e-commerce platforms, including walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and PhonePe, as well as via dedicated mobile applications. Walmart offers an exceptionally broad range of products and services. Its inventory covers groceries and daily consumables, such as dairy, meats, baked goods, deli items, fresh produce, various packaged foods (dry, chilled, or frozen), alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, floral items, snacks, candies, health and beauty aids, paper products, laundry and home care essentials, baby care, and pet supplies, alongside fuel and tobacco. Furthermore, it features a comprehensive health and wellness segment, providing pharmacy, optical, and hearing services, over-the-counter medications, and other medical products. For home and personal needs, shoppers can find items ranging from home improvement goods, outdoor living products, gardening supplies, furniture, apparel, and jewelry, to tools, power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses, and automotive services like tire and battery centers. The electronics department includes consumer electronics, accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Beyond merchandise, Walmart provides a suite of financial services. These include digital payment platforms, money transfer options, bill payment services, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access solutions, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access programs. The company also markets several proprietary brands, notably Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly.
PE Ratio (TTM)
40.2x
PEG Ratio
1.84
Earnings Yield
2.53%
ROE (TTM)
24.3%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$91.02
Dividend Yield
0.84%
Debt/Equity
0.79x
WMT 的過去 12 個月市盈率反映投資者為 Walmart Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Discount Stores同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
WMT 的市盈率 40.2x 結合 PEG 比率 1.84 提供了增長調整後的視角。PEG 接近 1.0 表明市盈率與盈利增速基本匹配。注意 PE 估值最適合盈利穩定的成熟公司——對於高增長或週期性Discount Stores,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Walmart Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前市盈率 (40.2x)與Discount Stores中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (1.84)以調整增長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
WMT 的 PEG 比率為 1.84,由市盈率(40.2x)除以預期盈利增速計算。PEG 接近 1.0 表明股價相對於增長合理定價。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於增長預期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率給出快速的相對定價——WMT 相對於Discount Stores同類的估值水平。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。對於 WMT,ROE 達到 24.3%,兩種方法都值得使用——PE 做市場對比,DCF 驗證基本面是否支撐目前價格。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流質量,DCF 則對增長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 WMT 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-06-29。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。