目前價格
$103.70
PE Ratio (TTM)
37.4x
內在價值
$114.98
安全邊際 +9.8%
截至 2026-08-21,對 Walmart Inc.(WMT)每股盈餘 $2.78 套用 37.3x 的獲利倍數,得出每股公允價值估算約 $114.98,目前股價為 $103.7。
基於獲利倍數的公允價值對所選倍數很敏感。在敏感度網格上,估算區間為 $97.9 至 $134.26。這是錨定獲利的相對估算,並非事實定論。如需基於現金流的視角,請參閱 DCF 頁面的內在價值估算。
PE 模型如何運作 · 用 PE 模式重新計算 · WMT 內在價值(DCF 視角)
在 $103.7 的價格下,WMT 的交易價比其基於 PE 的公允價值估算低約 9.8%,相對其獲利能力有一定折讓,但還不足以直接稱其便宜。
競爭護城河
↑規模經濟優勢
沃爾瑪龐大的採購量和分銷網絡使其能以極低的成本採購商品,並將成本節省轉嫁給消費者,形成難以複製的價格競爭力。
↑品牌忠誠度
作為全球最大的零售商,沃爾瑪建立了強大的品牌聲譽和消費者信任,尤其是在追求價值和便利性的客群中,這轉化為穩定的客流量和銷售額。
↑數據與技術整合
透過與Google合作導入Gemini AI,沃爾瑪正積極利用數據和先進技術優化購物體驗,這有助於提升客戶黏著度並創造新的價值來源。
投資風險
↓勞動力成本上升
沃爾瑪龐大的員工隊伍使其容易受到最低工資調漲和勞動力市場波動的影響,這可能增加營運成本並壓縮利潤空間。
↓供應鏈中斷風險
作為全球性企業,沃爾瑪的供應鏈易受地緣政治、自然災害或貿易爭端等因素影響,任何重大中斷都可能導致商品短缺和營運延遲。
↓消費者偏好轉變
隨著消費者對永續性、個人化體驗和線上購物的需求不斷演變,沃爾瑪若無法快速適應這些變化,可能面臨客群流失的風險。
基準情形
內在價值
$114.98
安全邊際
+9.8%
預期年化報酬
+2.1%
基準情形假設:盈餘年成長率 9.5%、目標 P/E 倍數 37.3x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2026-08-21。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘成長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company engages customers through numerous e-commerce platforms, including walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, and PhonePe, as well as via dedicated mobile applications. Walmart offers an exceptionally broad range of products and services. Its inventory covers groceries and daily consumables, such as dairy, meats, baked goods, deli items, fresh produce, various packaged foods (dry, chilled, or frozen), alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, floral items, snacks, candies, health and beauty aids, paper products, laundry and home care essentials, baby care, and pet supplies, alongside fuel and tobacco. Furthermore, it features a comprehensive health and wellness segment, providing pharmacy, optical, and hearing services, over-the-counter medications, and other medical products. For home and personal needs, shoppers can find items ranging from home improvement goods, outdoor living products, gardening supplies, furniture, apparel, and jewelry, to tools, power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses, and automotive services like tire and battery centers. The electronics department includes consumer electronics, accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Beyond merchandise, Walmart provides a suite of financial services. These include digital payment platforms, money transfer options, bill payment services, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access solutions, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access programs. The company also markets several proprietary brands, notably Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly.
PE Ratio (TTM)
37.4x
PEG Ratio
9.05
獲利收益率
2.68%
ROE (TTM)
22.7%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$92.51
股息收益率
0.94%
Debt/Equity
0.75x
WMT 的過去 12 個月本益比反映投資者為 Walmart Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Discount Stores同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
WMT 的本益比 37.4x 結合 PEG 比率 9.05 提供了成長調整後的視角。PEG 高於 2.0 表明 本益比相對於獲利成長率偏高。注意 PE 估值最適合獲利穩定的成熟公司——對於高成長或週期性Discount Stores,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Walmart Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前本益比 (37.4x)與Discount Stores中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (9.05)以調整成長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
WMT 的 PEG 比率為 9.05,由本益比(37.4x)除以預期獲利成長率計算。PEG 高於 2.0 意味著本益比相對於預期獲利成長率偏高。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於成長預期的可靠性。
PE 本益比給出快速的相對定價——WMT 相對於Discount Stores同類的估值水準。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。對於 WMT,ROE 達到 22.7%,兩種方法都值得使用——PE 做市場對比,DCF 驗證基本面是否支撐目前價格。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流品質,DCF 則對成長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 WMT 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2026-08-21。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。