Household & Personal Products · NASDAQ
当前价格
$98.66
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care and consumer tissue products worldwide. It operates through three segments: Personal Care, Consumer Tissue, and K-C Professional. The Personal Care segment offers disposable diapers, swimpants, training and youth pants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Little Swimmers, GoodNites, DryNites, Sweety, Kotex, U by Kotex, Intimus, Depend, Plenitud, Softex, Poise, and other brand names. The Consumer Tissue segment provides facial and bathroom tissues, paper towels, napkins, and related products under the Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Andrex, Scottex, Neve, and other brand names. The K-C Professional segment offers wipers, tissues, towels, apparel, soaps, and sanitizers under the Kleenex, Scott, WypAll, Kimtech, and KleenGuard brands. The company sells household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce; and away-from-home use products directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and public facilities, as well as through distributors and e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
ROIC (TTM)
17.7%
ROE (TTM)
155.3%
FCF Yield
7.27%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,KMB 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 17.7%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 7.27%,是评估 KMB 相对估值的重要参考指标。
KMB 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
KMB 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $98.66 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Kimberly-Clark Corporation 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Household & Personal Products行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 KMB 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Kimberly-Clark Corporation,这意味着预测Household & Personal Products在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。KMB 的 ROIC 为 17.7%,表明资本效率较高,支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 KMB,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。