Household & Personal Products · NYSE
当前价格
$94.69
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Church & Dwight Co., Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates through three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers cat litters, carpet deodorizers, laundry detergents, and baking soda, as well as other baking soda based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; battery-operated and manual toothbrushes under the SPINBRUSH brand; home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR brand; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; gummy dietary supplements under the L'IL CRITTERS and VITAFUSION brands; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers and replacement showerheads under the WATERPIK brand; FLAWLESS products; cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand; and oral care products under the THERABREATH brand. Its specialty products include animal productivity products, such as MEGALAC rumen bypass fat, a supplement that enables cows to maintain energy levels during the period of high milk production; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN, which are used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as provides needed protein; and CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic. The company offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. It sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, and websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. The company was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.
ROIC (TTM)
11.2%
ROE (TTM)
17.2%
FCF Yield
4.87%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,CHD 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 11.2%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 4.87%,是评估 CHD 相对估值的重要参考指标。
CHD 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
CHD 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $94.69 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Church & Dwight Co., Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Household & Personal Products行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 CHD 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Church & Dwight Co., Inc.,这意味着预测Household & Personal Products在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。CHD 的 ROIC 为 11.2%,显示中等水平的资本回报。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 CHD,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。