Sempra (SRE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation

Diversified Utilities · NYSE

Current Price

$82.90

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSISSRE

COMPETITIVE MOAT

INVESTMENT RISKS

This company has negative free cash flow, so a DCF model may not be suitable — it values future cash generation. You can still use the calculator below with your own assumptions.

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Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Sempra respond.

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Company Overview

Sempra, an energy holding company founded in 1998 and headquartered in San Diego, California, conducts its operations both domestically and internationally. The firm adopted its current name in July 2021, having previously been known as Sempra Energy. Through its San Diego Gas & Electric Company division, Sempra delivers electricity to approximately 3.6 million individuals and natural gas to roughly 3.3 million individuals across a 4,100 square mile service area. The Southern California Gas Company segment manages an extensive natural gas network, encompassing distribution, transmission, and storage infrastructure, which supplies gas to an estimated 22 million people within a 24,000 square mile territory. Furthermore, Sempra's Texas Utilities division specializes in the regulated transmission and distribution of electrical power, serving 3.8 million residential and commercial customers. This segment oversees 140,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines, including 18,249 circuit miles of transmission lines and 1,174 transmission and distribution substations. It also features interconnections to 130 third-party power generation facilities with a combined capacity of 45,403 megawatts.

Financial Metrics — SRE Stock Valuation Data

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$20.80

FCF/Share (TTM)

$-9.01

ROIC (TTM)

3.0%

ROE (TTM)

7.1%

P/FCF

n/m

EV/EBITDA

13.9x

FCF Yield

-10.88%

Debt/Equity

1.12x

SRE currently has negative free cash flow, so cash-flow ratios such as P/FCF and FCF yield do not give a meaningful read on whether the stock is cheap or expensive. A DCF valuation is unreliable until cash generation turns positive — focus on the path to profitability instead.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of SRE?

Sempra currently generates $-9.01 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $82.90, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.

Is SRE undervalued?

SRE currently has negative free cash flow, so its P/FCF ratio is not meaningful and cannot tell you whether the stock is cheap or expensive. With cash flow negative, a DCF-based undervalued or overvalued judgment is unreliable — look at the path back to positive cash generation instead.

How do I value SRE stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Sempra: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($-9.01) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Diversified Utilities industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting SRE's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 1.12x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to SRE?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Sempra, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Diversified Utilities trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. SRE's ROIC of 3.0% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect SRE stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For SRE, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 13.9x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.

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Related Valuations

All Utilities valuations

DCF and P/E value SRE with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.

Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.