Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation

Regulated Electric · NYSE

Current Price

$66.59

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyD

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Regulated Monopoly Infrastructure

Dominion operates essential electric infrastructure, granting it a de facto monopoly in its service territories. This regulatory structure limits direct competition for its core business.

High Capital Intensity

Building and maintaining electric grids requires immense capital investment. This creates a significant barrier to entry for potential competitors seeking to replicate its infrastructure.

Long-Term Contracts and Rate Base

Dominion's revenue is largely derived from regulated rate bases, providing predictable cash flows. Long-term contracts for power generation further enhance revenue stability.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Interest Rate Sensitivity

As a capital-intensive utility, Dominion's profitability can be negatively affected by rising interest rates, increasing its borrowing costs.

Environmental Regulations and Transition

Increasingly stringent environmental regulations and the transition to renewable energy sources require significant capital investment and can lead to stranded assets.

Operational and Infrastructure Risks

Dominion faces risks associated with the reliability of its infrastructure, including potential disruptions from severe weather events or equipment failures.

This company has negative free cash flow, so a DCF model may not be suitable — it values future cash generation. You can still use the calculator below with your own assumptions.

Customize the D valuation

Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Dominion Energy, Inc. respond.

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Or try PE Ratio Valuation for D

Company Overview

Dominion Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that provides regulated electricity and natural gas services. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to customers in Virginia and the Carolinas, and distributes natural gas to customers in multiple states including South Carolina, Ohio, and Utah. The company's asset portfolio includes electric generation capacity from various sources including renewables, electric transmission and distribution lines, and natural gas infrastructure.

Financial Metrics — D Stock Valuation Data

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$20.83

FCF/Share (TTM)

$-7.76

ROIC (TTM)

3.4%

ROE (TTM)

8.9%

P/FCF

n/m

EV/EBITDA

15.2x

FCF Yield

-11.65%

Debt/Equity

1.85x

D currently has negative free cash flow, so cash-flow ratios such as P/FCF and FCF yield do not give a meaningful read on whether the stock is cheap or expensive. A DCF valuation is unreliable until cash generation turns positive — focus on the path to profitability instead.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of D?

Dominion Energy, Inc. currently generates $-7.76 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $66.59, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.

Is D undervalued?

D currently has negative free cash flow, so its P/FCF ratio is not meaningful and cannot tell you whether the stock is cheap or expensive. With cash flow negative, a DCF-based undervalued or overvalued judgment is unreliable — look at the path back to positive cash generation instead.

How do I value D stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Dominion Energy, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($-7.76) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Regulated Electric industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting D's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 1.85x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to D?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Dominion Energy, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Regulated Electric trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. D's ROIC of 3.4% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect D stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For D, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.85x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 15.2x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.

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DCF and P/E value D with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.

Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.