Oil & Gas Midstream · NYSE
Current Price
$70.13
Intrinsic Value
Outside reliable range
The base-case DCF model produces an intrinsic value estimate for The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB) that falls outside its reliable range, so treat any single number with extra caution. This usually happens with unusual cash flow patterns or rapid recent changes in the business.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Because the model output for WMB is outside the reliable range, no undervalued or overvalued read is given here. Use the calculator below to test your own assumptions instead.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Extensive Pipeline Network
WMB operates a vast, integrated network of natural gas pipelines. This extensive infrastructure creates significant barriers to entry for competitors.
↑Long-Term Contracts
The company secures revenue through long-term, fee-based contracts with producers and end-users. This provides revenue stability and predictability.
↑Scale and Efficiency
WMB's large scale allows for operational efficiencies and cost advantages in transporting and processing natural gas. This scale is difficult for smaller players to replicate.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Commodity Price Volatility
While WMB's contracts are fee-based, sustained low natural gas prices can reduce producer activity, indirectly impacting volumes and contract renewals.
↓Operational Incidents
Pipeline leaks, ruptures, or other operational failures can lead to significant environmental damage, fines, and reputational harm.
↓Interest Rate Sensitivity
As a capital-intensive business, WMB relies on debt financing. Rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs and impact profitability.
Base case
Base case assumptions: 8.7% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 30x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-29.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for The Williams Companies, Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for WMBThe Williams Companies, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, operates as a prominent energy infrastructure entity, primarily conducting business throughout the United States. The company’s operations are organized into four key segments: Transmission & Gulf of Mexico, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services. The Transmission & Gulf of Mexico division manages crucial natural gas pipelines such as Transco and Northwest, in addition to natural gas gathering and processing, and crude oil production handling and transportation assets situated in the Gulf Coast. This segment also oversees various petrochemical and feedstock pipelines. Focusing on midstream activities, the Northeast G&P segment handles gathering, processing, and fractionation within the Marcellus Shale region, predominantly in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment delivers gas gathering, processing, and treating services across the Rocky Mountain areas of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale in north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas, the Haynesville Shale in northwest Louisiana, and the expansive Mid-Continent region (including the Anadarko, Arkoma, and Permian basins). This segment also operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage facilities located near Conway in central Kansas. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides comprehensive wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas to utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers, while also offering risk and asset management and NGL marketing services. The company possesses and operates an extensive network, including 30,000 miles of pipelines, 29 processing facilities, 7 fractionation facilities, and an approximate NGL storage capacity of 23 million barrels. The Williams Companies, Inc. was established in 1908 and maintains its headquarters in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$9.75
FCF/Share (TTM)
$0.59
ROIC (TTM)
6.3%
ROE (TTM)
22.4%
P/FCF
118.8x
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
FCF Yield
0.84%
Debt/Equity
2.33x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, WMB shows a free cash flow per share of $0.59 and a ROIC of 6.3%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 118.8x and FCF yield of 0.84% are important context metrics when evaluating WMB's stock valuation relative to peers.
The Williams Companies, Inc. currently generates $0.59 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $70.13, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
WMB trades at a P/FCF ratio of 118.8x with a free cash flow yield of 0.84%. A high P/FCF means investors are paying more per dollar of free cash flow, which usually reflects expectations of future growth. However, whether WMB is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on The Williams Companies, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($0.59) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Oil & Gas Midstream industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting WMB's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 2.33x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For The Williams Companies, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Oil & Gas Midstream trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. WMB's ROIC of 6.3% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For WMB, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.33x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 16.2x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value WMB with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-07-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.