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››TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Residential Construction · NYSE

Current Price

$139.57

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate TOL Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Toll Brothers, Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Traditional Home Building and City Living. It also designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. In addition, the company develops, owns, and operates golf courses and country clubs; develops and sells land; and develops, operates, and rents apartments, as well as provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, it owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and manufacturing operations. The company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. It has a strategic partnership with Equity Residential to develop new rental apartment communities in the United States markets. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

Financial Metrics — TOL Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

11.4%

ROE (TTM)

16.9%

FCF Yield

10.99%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, TOL shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 11.4%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 10.99% are important context metrics when evaluating TOL's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of TOL?

The intrinsic value of TOL depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is TOL undervalued?

Whether TOL is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $139.57. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value TOL stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Toll Brothers, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Residential Construction industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting TOL's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to TOL?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Toll Brothers, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Residential Construction will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. TOL's ROIC of 11.4% shows moderate capital returns.

How does WACC affect TOL stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For TOL, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • TOL AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See TOL PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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