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››ITW

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Industrial - Machinery · NYSE

Current Price

$265.67

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate ITW Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Illinois Tool Works Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Illinois Tool Works Inc. manufactures and sells industrial products and equipment worldwide. It operates through seven segments: Automotive OEM; Food Equipment; Test & Measurement and Electronics; Welding; Polymers & Fluids; Construction Products; and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment offers plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemblies for automobiles, light trucks, and other industrial uses. The Food Equipment segment provides warewashing, refrigeration, cooking, and food processing equipment; kitchen exhaust, ventilation, and pollution control systems; and food equipment maintenance and repair services. The Test & Measurement and Electronics segment produces and sells equipment, consumables, and related software for testing and measuring of materials and structures, as well as equipment and consumables used in the production of electronic subassemblies and microelectronics. The Welding segment produces arc welding equipment; and metal arc welding consumables and related accessories. The Polymers & Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids, and fluids and polymers for auto aftermarket maintenance and appearance. The Construction Products segment offers engineered fastening systems and solutions for the residential construction, renovation/remodel, and commercial construction markets. The Specialty Products segment offers beverage packaging equipment and consumables, product coding and marking equipment and consumables, and appliance components and fasteners. It serves the automotive OEM/tiers, commercial food equipment, construction, general industrial, and automotive aftermarket end markets. The company distributes its products directly to industrial manufacturers, as well as through independent distributors. Illinois Tool Works Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Glenview, Illinois.

Financial Metrics — ITW Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

24.5%

ROE (TTM)

95.2%

FCF Yield

3.54%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, ITW shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 24.5%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 3.54% are important context metrics when evaluating ITW's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of ITW?

The intrinsic value of ITW depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is ITW undervalued?

Whether ITW is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $265.67. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value ITW stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Illinois Tool Works Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Industrial - Machinery industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting ITW's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to ITW?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Illinois Tool Works Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Industrial - Machinery will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. ITW's ROIC of 24.5% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect ITW stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For ITW, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • ITW AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See ITW PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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