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››DK

Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · NYSE

Current Price

$46.67

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate DK Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Delek US Holdings, Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Delek US Holdings, Inc. engages in the integrated downstream energy business in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining, Logistics, and Retail. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstock for the manufacture of various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, asphalt, and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminal. It owns and operates four independent refineries located in Tyler, Texas; El Dorado, Arkansas; Big Spring, Texas; and Krotz Springs, Louisiana, as well as three biodiesel facilities in Crossett, Arkansas, Cleburne, Texas, and New Albany. The Logistics segment gathers, transports, and stores crude oil, intermediate, and refined products; and markets, distributes, transports, and stores refined products for third parties. It owns or leases capacity on approximately 400 miles of crude oil transportation pipelines, approximately 450 miles of refined product pipelines, an approximately 900-mile crude oil gathering system, and associated crude oil storage tanks with an aggregate of approximately 10.2 million barrels of active shell capacity; and owns and operates ten light product distribution terminals, as well as markets light products using third-party terminals. The Retail segment owns and leases 248 convenience store sites located primarily in West Texas and New Mexico. Its convenience stores offer various grades of gasoline and diesel under the DK or Alon brand; and food products and service, tobacco products, non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages, and general merchandise, as well as money orders to the public primarily under the 7-Eleven and DK or Alon brand names. It serves oil companies, independent refiners and marketers, jobbers, distributors, utility and transportation companies, the U.S. government, and independent retail fuel operators. Delek US Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Financial Metrics — DK Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

-6.1%

ROE (TTM)

-25.8%

FCF Yield

17.16%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, DK shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of -6.1%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 17.16% are important context metrics when evaluating DK's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of DK?

The intrinsic value of DK depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is DK undervalued?

Whether DK is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $46.67. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value DK stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Delek US Holdings, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting DK's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to DK?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Delek US Holdings, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. DK's ROIC of -6.1% suggests the company may face challenges generating returns above its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect DK stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For DK, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • DK AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See DK PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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