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››CARR

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Construction · NYSE

Current Price

$61.74

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate CARR Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Carrier Global Corporation with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Carrier Global Corporation provides heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire, security, and building automation technologies worldwide. It operates through three segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment provides products, controls, services, and solutions to meet the heating, cooling, and ventilation needs of residential and commercial customers. Its products include air conditioners, heating systems, controls, and aftermarket components, as well as aftermarket repair and maintenance services and building automation solutions. The Refrigeration segment offers transport refrigeration and monitoring products and services, as well as digital solutions for trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal applications, food retail, and warehouse cooling; and commercial refrigeration solutions, such as refrigerated cabinets, freezers, systems, and controls. The Fire & Security segment provides various residential, commercial, and industrial technologies, including fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide detection; portable fire extinguishers; fire suppression systems; intruder alarms; access control systems; video management systems; and electronic controls. Its other fire and security service offerings comprise audit, design, installation, and system integration, as well as aftermarket maintenance and repair and monitoring services. The company offers its products under the Autronica, Det-Tronics, Edwards, Fireye, GST, Kidde, LenelS2, Marioff, Onity, and Supra; Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, Day & Night, Heil, NORESCO, and Riello; and Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Carrier Transicold, and Sensitech brands. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

Financial Metrics — CARR Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

5.8%

ROE (TTM)

10.5%

FCF Yield

4.06%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, CARR shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 5.8%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 4.06% are important context metrics when evaluating CARR's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of CARR?

The intrinsic value of CARR depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is CARR undervalued?

Whether CARR is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $61.74. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value CARR stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Carrier Global Corporation: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Construction industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting CARR's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to CARR?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Carrier Global Corporation, this means projecting how much free cash flow the Construction will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. CARR's ROIC of 5.8% suggests the company may face challenges generating returns above its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect CARR stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For CARR, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • CARR AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See CARR PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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