The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis
Agricultural Inputs · NYSE
Current Price
$22.57
PE Ratio (TTM)
9.6x
Intrinsic Value
$23.57
+4.2% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Economies of Scale in Production
Mosaic operates massive, integrated facilities for phosphate and potash production. This scale allows for lower per-unit production costs, a significant advantage over smaller competitors.
↑Global Distribution Network
The company possesses an extensive and established global distribution network. This ensures efficient delivery of products to diverse agricultural markets worldwide.
↑Resource Ownership and Access
Mosaic controls significant reserves of phosphate rock and potash. Owning these essential raw materials provides a long-term, cost-advantaged supply chain.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Geopolitical and Trade Policy Shifts
Changes in international trade policies, tariffs, or geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains and impact export markets for Mosaic's products.
↓Intensifying Competition
While scale is an advantage, new entrants or expansions by existing players can increase competition, potentially pressuring market share and pricing.
↓Weather and Agricultural Cycles
The demand for Mosaic's products is directly tied to agricultural cycles and weather patterns. Unfavorable conditions can lead to reduced farmer spending and lower sales volumes.
Base case
MOS base case PE valuation
At a current price of $22.57, the base case PE valuation puts MOS fair value near $23.57 per share. That figure assumes 0.7% yearly earnings growth, a target PE multiple of 10x, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$23.57
Margin of safety
+4.2%
Expected annual return
+0.9%
Base case assumptions: 0.7% annual earnings growth, 10x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-30.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the MOS PE valuation
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for The Mosaic Company respond.
Open PE Calculator for MOSCompany Overview
Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of phosphate-based products. These offerings encompass crucial agricultural fertilizers such as diammonium phosphate (DAP), monoammonium phosphate (MAP), and various ammoniated phosphate compounds. Additionally, Mosaic produces phosphate-derived ingredients for animal feed, primarily marketed under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, along with K-Mag, a unique double sulfate of potash magnesia product. Beyond phosphates, Mosaic is a key producer and vendor of potash. This versatile mineral finds application in compound fertilizer manufacturing, animal feed formulations, industrial processes, de-icing preparations, and as a regenerant for water softeners. The company further broadens its portfolio by providing nitrogen-based crop nutrients, supplemental animal feed ingredients, and a range of supporting services. It also actively engages in the procurement and resale of phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products. Mosaic's products reach a wide array of customers, including major wholesale distributors, extensive retail chains, agricultural cooperatives, individual farmers, independent retailers, and large national accounts. Incorporated in 2004, The Mosaic Company is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
Financial Metrics — MOS PE Stock Valuation Data
PE Ratio (TTM)
9.6x
PEG Ratio
0.09
Earnings Yield
10.14%
ROE (TTM)
5.9%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$37.98
Dividend Yield
3.90%
Debt/Equity
0.10x
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PE ratio of MOS?
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of MOS reflects how much investors pay per dollar of The Mosaic Company's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Agricultural Inputs peers and the company's own historical range.
Is MOS overvalued based on PE ratio?
MOS's PE of 9.6x combined with a PEG ratio of 0.09 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Agricultural Inputs, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
How do I value MOS stock using PE ratio?
To value The Mosaic Company using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (9.6x) against the Agricultural Inputs median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (0.09) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
What is the PEG ratio of MOS?
MOS's PEG ratio is 0.09, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (9.6x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
Should I use PE ratio or DCF for MOS stock valuation?
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how MOS is priced versus Agricultural Inputs peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
Learn More
- See MOS DCF Valuation → — Intrinsic value via Discounted Cash Flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Step-by-step guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- DCF Methodology — Guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Ratio — Understanding the price-to-earnings ratio
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
Related PE Valuations
All Basic Materials valuationsP/E and DCF value MOS with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-07-30. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.