Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis
Apparel - Retail · NYSE
Current Price
$371.13
PE Ratio (TTM)
38.1x
Intrinsic Value
$398.07
+6.8% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Off-Price Retailer Scale Advantage
Burlington leverages its large store footprint and purchasing power to secure desirable merchandise at lower costs. This scale allows for competitive pricing, attracting value-conscious shoppers.
↑Brand Relationships and Inventory Access
Established relationships with a wide array of national brands provide consistent access to diverse and appealing inventory. This allows them to offer a constantly changing selection of quality goods.
↑Customer Loyalty and Value Proposition
The treasure-hunt shopping experience and consistent value proposition foster customer loyalty. Shoppers return seeking deals and unique finds, driving repeat business.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Economic Sensitivity and Discretionary Spending
As an off-price retailer, Burlington's sales are highly sensitive to economic downturns and consumer discretionary spending. Reduced consumer confidence can significantly impact revenue.
↓Inventory Management and Markdown Risk
Managing a large and diverse inventory is complex. Failure to effectively move merchandise can lead to markdowns, impacting profitability and margins.
↓Supply Chain Disruptions
Reliance on a global supply chain makes Burlington vulnerable to disruptions from geopolitical events, natural disasters, or trade issues. These can affect product availability and costs.
Base case
BURL base case PE valuation
At a current price of $371.13, the base case PE valuation puts BURL fair value near $398.07 per share. That figure assumes 8.9% yearly earnings growth, a target PE multiple of 38x, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$398.07
Margin of safety
+6.8%
Expected annual return
+1.4%
Base case assumptions: 8.9% annual earnings growth, 38x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-29.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the BURL PE valuation
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Burlington Stores, Inc. respond.
Open PE Calculator for BURLCompany Overview
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a prominent retail chain across the United States, offering a diverse selection of branded apparel and other consumer products. Its merchandise is heavily focused on current fashion trends, providing items such as women's ready-to-wear, men's clothing, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, and outerwear. Additionally, the company stocks toys, gifts, and various products for the home, baby, and beauty categories. As of January 29, 2022, Burlington Stores, Inc. maintained an extensive network of 837 outlets under its flagship Burlington Stores brand, two Cohoes Fashions locations, and a single MJM Designer Shoes store. These establishments are situated throughout 45 U.S. states and Puerto Rico. The enterprise was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.
Financial Metrics — BURL PE Stock Valuation Data
PE Ratio (TTM)
38.1x
PEG Ratio
2.03
Earnings Yield
2.62%
ROE (TTM)
37.7%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$185.82
Debt/Equity
3.20x
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PE ratio of BURL?
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of BURL reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Burlington Stores, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Apparel - Retail peers and the company's own historical range.
Is BURL overvalued based on PE ratio?
BURL's PE of 38.1x combined with a PEG ratio of 2.03 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG above 2.0 means the P/E is high relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Apparel - Retail, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
How do I value BURL stock using PE ratio?
To value Burlington Stores, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (38.1x) against the Apparel - Retail median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (2.03) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
What is the PEG ratio of BURL?
BURL's PEG ratio is 2.03, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (38.1x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG above 2.0 means the P/E is high relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
Should I use PE ratio or DCF for BURL stock valuation?
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how BURL is priced versus Apparel - Retail peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For BURL, with a strong ROE of 37.7%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
Learn More
- See BURL DCF Valuation → — Intrinsic value via Discounted Cash Flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Step-by-step guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- DCF Methodology — Guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Ratio — Understanding the price-to-earnings ratio
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
Related PE Valuations
All Consumer Cyclical valuationsP/E and DCF value BURL with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-07-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.