Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis

Apparel - Retail · NYSE

Current Price

$338.45

PE Ratio (TTM)

34.8x

Intrinsic Value

$495.66

+31.7% margin of safety

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyBURL

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Value Proposition

Burlington's off-price model attracts a broad customer base seeking discounts. This consistent value offering drives repeat traffic and loyalty.

Inventory Management

Agile inventory sourcing and management allow Burlington to capitalize on opportunistic buys. This flexibility supports margin expansion and competitive pricing.

Store Productivity Gains

Focus on improving in-store operations and customer experience enhances sales per square foot. This drives profitable growth from existing store base.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Competitive Landscape

The retail sector is highly competitive, with both off-price and traditional retailers vying for consumer spending. Intense competition can pressure margins.

Economic Sensitivity

As a value retailer, Burlington's performance is tied to consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns or inflation can reduce demand.

Supply Chain Disruptions

Reliance on opportunistic inventory means vulnerability to supply chain issues. Disruptions can impact product availability and pricing.

Base case

BURL base case PE valuation

A base case PE valuation for BURL estimates a fair value of about $495.66 per share, against a current price of $338.45. The model assumes 15.7% annual earnings growth, a 35x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.

Intrinsic Value

$495.66

Margin of safety

+31.7%

Expected annual return

+7.9%

Base case assumptions: 15.7% annual earnings growth, 35x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-06-12.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the BURL PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Burlington Stores, Inc. respond.

Open PE Calculator for BURL

Or try DCF Valuation for BURL

Company Overview

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a prominent retail chain across the United States, offering a diverse selection of branded apparel and other consumer products. Its merchandise is heavily focused on current fashion trends, providing items such as women's ready-to-wear, men's clothing, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, and outerwear. Additionally, the company stocks toys, gifts, and various products for the home, baby, and beauty categories. As of January 29, 2022, Burlington Stores, Inc. maintained an extensive network of 837 outlets under its flagship Burlington Stores brand, two Cohoes Fashions locations, and a single MJM Designer Shoes store. These establishments are situated throughout 45 U.S. states and Puerto Rico. The enterprise was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Financial Metrics — BURL PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

34.8x

PEG Ratio

1.85

Earnings Yield

2.87%

ROE (TTM)

37.7%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$185.82

Debt/Equity

3.20x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of BURL?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of BURL reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Burlington Stores, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Apparel - Retail peers and the company's own historical range.

Is BURL overvalued based on PE ratio?

BURL's PE of 34.8x combined with a PEG ratio of 1.85 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG near 1.0 suggests the PE ratio is reasonably justified by the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Apparel - Retail, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value BURL stock using PE ratio?

To value Burlington Stores, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (34.8x) against the Apparel - Retail median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (1.85) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of BURL?

BURL's PEG ratio is 1.85, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (34.8x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG near 1.0 suggests the stock is fairly priced relative to growth. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for BURL stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how BURL is priced versus Apparel - Retail peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For BURL, with a strong ROE of 37.7%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

P/E and DCF value BURL with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-06-12. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.