当前价格
$76.89
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Monster Beverage Corporation 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Monster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, and Other. It offers carbonated energy drinks, non-carbonated, ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks, energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still waters, and sodas that are considered natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages. The company sells its products to bottlers, full-service beverage distributors, as well as sells directly to retail grocery and speciality chains, wholesalers, club stores, mass merchandisers, convenience chains, drug stores, foodservice customers, value stores, e-commerce retailers, and the military; and concentrates and/or beverage bases to authorized bottling and canning operations. It provides its products under the Monster Energy, Monster Energy Ultra, Monster Rehab, Monster Energy Nitro, Java Monster, Muscle Monster, Espresso Monster, Punch Monster, Juice Monster, Monster Hydro Energy Water, Monster Hydro Super Sport, Monster HydroSport Super Fuel, Monster Super Fuel, Monster Dragon Tea, Reign Total Body Fuel, and Reign Inferno Thermogenic Fuel, as well as NOS, Full Throttle, Burn, Mother, Nalu, Ultra Energy, Play and Power Play (stylized), Relentless, BPM, BU, Gladiator, Samurai, Live+, Predator, Fury, and True North brands. The company was formerly known as Hansen Natural Corporation and changed its name to Monster Beverage Corporation in January 2012. Monster Beverage Corporation was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Corona, California.
ROIC (TTM)
21.7%
ROE (TTM)
25.7%
FCF Yield
2.61%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,MNST 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 21.7%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 2.61%,是评估 MNST 相对估值的重要参考指标。
MNST 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
MNST 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $76.89 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Monster Beverage Corporation 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Beverages - Non-Alcoholic行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 MNST 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Monster Beverage Corporation,这意味着预测Beverages - Non-Alcoholic在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。MNST 的 ROIC 为 21.7%,表明资本效率较高,支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 MNST,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。