Information Technology Services · NASDAQ
Current Price
$47.46
Intrinsic Value
$65.61
+27.7% margin of safety
As of 2026-10-28, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Fiserv, Inc. (FISV) at $65.61 per share, compared with a market price of $47.46, a margin of safety of +27.7%. The base case assumes 3.4% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $45.95 to $88.75. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
At $47.46, FISV trades about 27.7% below the base-case intrinsic value estimate. That is a real discount, but it stays short of the 30% margin of safety required before calling a stock undervalued.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Vast Merchant Network
Fiserv's extensive network of merchants, particularly through its Clover platform, creates significant network effects. This scale makes it difficult for competitors to replicate its reach and integrated services.
↑High Switching Costs
Businesses rely on Fiserv's integrated payment processing and business management solutions. The complexity and disruption involved in switching providers create substantial switching costs for clients.
↑Ecosystem Lock-in
Fiserv's ecosystem, including Clover and Commerce Hub, offers a suite of interconnected services. This integration encourages clients to deepen their reliance on Fiserv's offerings, making it harder to leave.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Cybersecurity Threats
As a processor of sensitive financial data, Fiserv is a prime target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could lead to financial losses, reputational damage, and regulatory penalties.
↓Technological Obsolescence
The rapid pace of technological change in payments and commerce requires continuous innovation. Failure to adapt to new technologies could render Fiserv's offerings less competitive.
↓Customer Concentration
While Fiserv serves many merchants, reliance on a few large enterprise clients or strategic partners could pose a risk if those relationships deteriorate.
Base case
Intrinsic Value
$65.61
Margin of safety
+27.7%
Expected annual return
+6.7%
Base case assumptions: 3.4% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 6.43x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-28.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Fiserv, Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for FISVFiserv, Inc. is a global provider of technology solutions for payments and financial services. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: Acceptance, Fintech, and Payments. The Acceptance segment enables businesses to process transactions at the point of sale and through digital channels, offering mobile payment capabilities and robust security and fraud prevention tools. Key offerings include Carat, its omnichannel commerce platform; Clover, a cloud-native platform for point-of-sale and business management; and Clover Connect, designed for independent software vendors. This segment reaches clients via diverse distribution channels, including direct sales, agent networks, ISVs, and financial institution partnerships. The Fintech segment supports financial institutions in managing core functions like customer deposit and loan accounts, general ledgers, and central information repositories. Further services extend to digital banking, financial and risk management, specialized consulting, and item processing solutions. The Payments segment facilitates a wide array of card-based transactions, including processing for debit, credit, and prepaid cards. It also delivers security and fraud safeguards, card manufacturing, print services, and various network functionalities. Beyond cards, this segment offers digital payment solutions like bill payment, account-to-account transfers, person-to-person payments, and electronic billing, complemented by security features. Fiserv caters to a broad clientele, including businesses, banks, credit unions, other financial institutions, merchants, and corporate enterprises. Established in 1984, Fiserv, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Brookfield, Wisconsin.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$38.94
FCF/Share (TTM)
$7.33
ROIC (TTM)
6.5%
ROE (TTM)
10.8%
P/FCF
6.5x
EV/EBITDA
7.1x
FCF Yield
15.56%
Debt/Equity
1.04x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, FISV shows a free cash flow per share of $7.33 and a ROIC of 6.5%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 6.5x and FCF yield of 15.56% are important context metrics when evaluating FISV's stock valuation relative to peers.
Fiserv, Inc. currently generates $7.33 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $47.46, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
FISV trades at a P/FCF ratio of 6.5x with a free cash flow yield of 15.56%. A low P/FCF means investors are paying less per dollar of free cash flow; whether that is cheap depends on the company's growth, cyclicality, and capital intensity. However, whether FISV is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on Fiserv, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($7.33) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Information Technology Services industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting FISV's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 1.04x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Fiserv, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Information Technology Services trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. FISV's ROIC of 6.5% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For FISV, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 7.1x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value FISV with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-10-28. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.