目前價格
$83.46
PE Ratio (TTM)
60.1x
內在價值
$120.66
安全邊際 +30.8%
競爭護城河
↑生態系統整合
Block 透過 Cash App 和 Square 建立了一個緊密整合的生態系統,將支付、金融服務和商家工具連結起來,創造了用戶黏性和轉換成本。
↑品牌忠誠度
Cash App 和 Square 在其目標市場中建立了強大的品牌認知度和用戶忠誠度,尤其是在年輕用戶和小型商家群體中。
↑數據網絡效應
隨著更多用戶和商家加入 Block 的平台,其收集的數據量增加,進而改善了風險評估、個性化推薦和產品開發,形成正向循環。
投資風險
↓監管風險
金融科技行業面臨嚴格的監管審查,Block 的業務模式可能受到反洗錢、消費者保護和數據隱私等法規變動的影響。
↓競爭加劇
支付和金融科技領域競爭激烈,大型科技公司和新創企業不斷推出類似的產品和服務,可能侵蝕 Block 的市場份額。
↓總體經濟波動
經濟衰退或利率上升可能影響消費者的支出能力和企業的營運,進而影響 Block 的交易量和營收。
基準情形
SQ 的基準情形 PE 估值估算每股公允價值約為 $120.66,目前股價為 $83.46。該模型假設盈餘年增長率 20.0%、目標 P/E 倍數 50x、折現率 10%。
內在價值
$120.66
安全邊際
+30.8%
預期年化報酬
+7.7%
基準情形假設:盈餘年增長率 20.0%、目標 P/E 倍數 50x、折現率 10%、預測 5 年。資料截至 2025-02-13。
本基準情形採用預設假設,不構成投資建議。當目標 PE 或盈餘增長率變化時,公允價值會顯著改變。開啟計算器可設定你自己的假設,並查看完整的敏感度區間。
Block, Inc., a company founded in 2009 and headquartered in San Francisco, California, (previously known as Square, Inc. until its rebranding in December 2021), develops a wide array of financial technology tools. Primarily, it equips businesses with solutions to process card payments efficiently, offering robust reporting and analytics, coupled with rapid next-day settlement services. Their hardware offerings cover various transaction needs: from the basic Magstripe reader for swiped cards, to the Contactless and chip reader compatible with EMV chip cards and Near Field Communication (NFC) payments. They also provide the Square Stand, which converts an iPad into a complete payment terminal; the integrated Square Register, combining hardware, point-of-sale software, and payment processing; and the versatile Square Terminal, a modern device that replaces traditional keypad terminals with its tap, dip, and swipe capabilities and built-in receipt printer. The company's extensive software suite addresses diverse business requirements, including Square Point of Sale, Square Appointments for scheduling, specialized platforms like Square for Retail and Square for Restaurants, and online commerce solutions via Square Online and Square Online Checkout. Additional tools encompass Square Invoices, Square Virtual Terminal, Square Team Management, Square Contracts, and comprehensive loyalty, marketing, and gift card programs, all managed through the Square Dashboard. Moreover, Block, Inc. supports the developer community with a platform featuring application programming interfaces (APIs) and software development kits (SDKs). Beyond its core merchant services, the company also offers the popular Cash App for individual money management (sending, spending, and storing funds) and Weebly, which provides website hosting and domain name registration solutions. Block, Inc. maintains a global presence, serving customers across the United States, Canada, Japan, Australia, Ireland, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom.
PE Ratio (TTM)
60.1x
PEG Ratio
n/m
Earnings Yield
1.73%
ROE (TTM)
3.6%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$40.96
Debt/Equity
0.37x
SQ 的過去 12 個月市盈率反映投資者為 Block, Inc. 每一美元收益所支付的價格。該指標在與Software - Infrastructure同類公司和公司自身歷史區間對比時最有意義。
SQ 的市盈率 60.1x 結合 PEG 比率 -0.87 提供了增長調整後的視角。SQ 盈利為負,市盈率和 PEG 比率此時均無意義,無法判斷股票被高估還是低估。注意 PE 估值最適合盈利穩定的成熟公司——對於高增長或週期性Software - Infrastructure,DCF 分析可能更合適。
對 Block, Inc. 使用 PE 估值的步驟:(1) 將目前市盈率 (60.1x)與Software - Infrastructure中位數對比評估相對定價,(2) 查看 PEG 比率 (-0.87)以調整增長預期,(3) 參考 5 年 PE 歷史區間判斷目前位置,(4) 用目標 PE 乘以前瞻 EPS 估算公允價值。這種相對估值方法與 DCF 的絕對估值互為補充。
SQ 的 PEG 比率為 -0.87,由市盈率(60.1x)除以預期盈利增速計算。由於 SQ 盈利為負,其 PEG 比率沒有意義,不應被解讀為低估或高估的訊號。注意 PEG 的準確性取決於增長預期的可靠性。
PE 市盈率給出快速的相對定價——SQ 相對於Software - Infrastructure同類的估值水平。DCF 基於預期自由現金流提供絕對價值。建議用 PE 做快速篩選,用 DCF 做深度分析。兩種方法各有盲區:PE 忽略了資本結構和現金流質量,DCF 則對增長率和折現率假設非常敏感。
本益比與 DCF 使用不同的方法和假設為 SQ 估值,因此兩者的結論可能不同。可對比 DCF 內在價值。
價格截至 2025-02-13。 財務數據來自 Financial Modeling Prep(過去 12 個月)· 估值方法論由 Charlie Wang 提供。
這是估計值,不構成投資建議。