Moody's Corporation (MCO) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · NYSE

Current Price

$503.33

PE Ratio (TTM)

31.8x

Intrinsic Value

$625.29

+19.5% margin of safety

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyMCO

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Brand and Reputation

Moody's enjoys a strong global brand recognition and a reputation for independent credit ratings. This trust is crucial for its business model and customer loyalty.

Data and Analytics Scale

The company possesses a vast and proprietary database of financial information. This scale provides a significant advantage in generating insights and maintaining its analytical edge.

Regulatory Endorsement

Moody's ratings are often mandated or heavily relied upon by regulators and financial institutions. This creates a structural demand for its services.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Regulatory Scrutiny and Reform

The credit rating industry is subject to ongoing regulatory oversight. Changes in regulations could impact Moody's business practices, revenue streams, or market position.

Economic Downturns and Defaults

A severe economic recession could lead to widespread defaults, increasing the volume of ratings work but potentially straining resources and impacting the perceived accuracy of ratings.

Litigation and Liability

Moody's faces potential litigation risks related to the accuracy and timeliness of its ratings. Adverse legal outcomes could result in significant financial penalties and reputational damage.

Base case

MCO base case PE valuation

At a current price of $503.33, the base case PE valuation puts MCO fair value near $625.29 per share. That figure assumes 11.6% yearly earnings growth, a target PE multiple of 31.6x, and a 10% discount rate.

Intrinsic Value

$625.29

Margin of safety

+19.5%

Expected annual return

+4.4%

Base case assumptions: 11.6% annual earnings growth, 31.6x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the MCO PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Moody's Corporation respond.

Open PE Calculator for MCO

Or try DCF Valuation for MCO

Company Overview

Moody's Corporation operates as a global leader in risk assessment, divided into two main segments: Moody's Investors Service and Moody's Analytics. Moody's Investors Service is dedicated to issuing credit ratings and providing detailed assessments for a diverse range of debt obligations and the entities that issue them. This encompasses corporate, financial institution, governmental, and structured finance securities across approximately 140 nations. These ratings are made publicly available through press releases, digital media, and real-time financial information systems. Its vast scope includes ratings for thousands of non-financial corporations, financial institutions, public finance issuers, sovereign and sub-sovereign governments, supranational bodies, infrastructure projects, and structured finance deals. The Moody's Analytics segment develops and provides a comprehensive suite of products and services designed to support the risk management needs of institutional participants in financial markets. This includes subscription-based research, data, and analytical tools such as credit ratings, quantitative credit scores, economic forecasts, business intelligence, commercial real estate data, and specialized training and certification programs. Additionally, this segment offers offshore analytical and research services, along with advanced software solutions for risk management. Originally founded in 1900 and headquartered in New York, New York, the company was known as Dun and Bradstreet Company before officially becoming Moody's Corporation in September 2000.

Financial Metrics — MCO PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

31.8x

PEG Ratio

0.94

Earnings Yield

3.16%

ROE (TTM)

79.7%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$46.50

Dividend Yield

0.80%

Debt/Equity

2.49x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of MCO?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of MCO reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Moody's Corporation's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges peers and the company's own historical range.

Is MCO overvalued based on PE ratio?

MCO's PE of 31.8x combined with a PEG ratio of 0.94 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value MCO stock using PE ratio?

To value Moody's Corporation using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (31.8x) against the Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (0.94) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of MCO?

MCO's PEG ratio is 0.94, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (31.8x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for MCO stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how MCO is priced versus Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For MCO, with a strong ROE of 79.7%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

P/E and DCF value MCO with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.