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››MCO

Moody's Corporation (MCO) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · NYSE

Current Price

$460.11

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate MCO Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Moody's Corporation with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Moody's Corporation operates as an integrated risk assessment firm worldwide. It operates in two segments, Moody's Investors Service and Moody's Analytics. The Moody's Investors Service segment publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on various debt obligations, programs and facilities, and entities that issue such obligations, such as various corporate, financial institution, and governmental obligations, as well as and structured finance securities. This segment provides ratings in approximately 140 countries. Its ratings are disseminated through press releases to the public through electronic media, including the internet and real-time information systems used by securities traders and investors. This segment has rated approximately 5,000 non-financial corporates; 3,600 financial institutions; 16,000 public finance issuers; 145 sovereigns; 47 supranational institutions; 459 sub-sovereigns; and 1,000 infrastructure and project finance issuers, as well as 9,100 structured finance deals. The Moody's Analytics segment develops a range of products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets; and offers subscription based research, data, and analytical products comprising credit ratings, credit research, quantitative credit scores and other analytical tools, economic research and forecasts, business intelligence and company information products, commercial real estate data and analytical tools, and on-line and classroom-based training services, as well as credentialing and certification services. It also offers offshore analytical and research services with learning solutions and certification programs; and software solutions, as well as related risk management services. The company was formerly known as Dun and Bradstreet Company and changed its name to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Moody's Corporation was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Financial Metrics — MCO Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

23.1%

ROE (TTM)

66.7%

FCF Yield

3.72%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, MCO shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 23.1%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 3.72% are important context metrics when evaluating MCO's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of MCO?

The intrinsic value of MCO depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is MCO undervalued?

Whether MCO is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $460.11. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value MCO stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Moody's Corporation: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting MCO's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to MCO?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Moody's Corporation, this means projecting how much free cash flow the Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. MCO's ROIC of 23.1% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect MCO stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For MCO, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • MCO AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See MCO PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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