Software - Application · NASDAQ
当前价格
$12.86
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Lyft, Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Lyft, Inc. operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada. The company operates multimodal transportation networks that offer riders personalized and on-demand access to various mobility options. It provides Ridesharing Marketplace, which connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a flexible car rentals program for drivers; Lyft Rentals that provides vehicles for long-distance trips; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. The company also integrates third-party public transit data into the Lyft app to offer riders various transportation options. In addition, it offers access to autonomous vehicles; centralized tools and enterprise transportation solutions, such as concierge transportation solutions for organizations; Lyft Pink subscription plans; Lyft Pass commuter programs; first-mile and last-mile services; and university safe rides programs. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
ROIC (TTM)
217.8%
ROE (TTM)
210.0%
FCF Yield
22.37%
LYFT 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
LYFT 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $12.86 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Lyft, Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Software - Application行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 LYFT 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Lyft, Inc.,这意味着预测Software - Application在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。LYFT 的 ROIC 为 217.8%,表明资本效率较高,支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 LYFT,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。