Medical - Healthcare Plans · NYSE
Current Price
$400.54
Intrinsic Value
$394.68
-1.5% margin of safety
As of 2026-08-21, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Elevance Health Inc. (ELV) at $394.68 per share, compared with a market price of $400.54, a margin of safety of -1.5%. The base case assumes 2.2% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $307.54 to $496.08. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
At $400.54, ELV trades about 1.5% above the base-case intrinsic value estimate, a modest premium. By this model the price sits within a normal band, though faster growth than assumed would change the picture.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Extensive Provider Network
Elevance Health boasts a vast network of healthcare providers. This scale creates significant switching costs for members and employers seeking to maintain access to their preferred doctors and hospitals.
↑Government Contract Expertise
Deep experience in managing government health programs like Medicare and Medicaid provides a stable, recurring revenue stream. Navigating these complex regulatory environments creates a barrier to entry for competitors.
↑Data Analytics and Scale
Leveraging vast amounts of member data allows for sophisticated risk assessment and cost management. This scale advantage enhances efficiency and pricing power in a competitive market.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Healthcare Cost Inflation
Rising medical costs can outpace premium increases, squeezing profit margins. Managing these escalating expenses is a constant challenge for health insurers.
↓Cybersecurity Threats
As a holder of sensitive member data, Elevance Health is a prime target for cyberattacks. Data breaches can lead to significant financial and reputational damage.
↓Changes in Healthcare Utilization
Shifts in how and when members access healthcare services, influenced by economic conditions or public health trends, can unpredictably affect claims costs.
Base case
Intrinsic Value
$394.68
Margin of safety
-1.5%
Expected annual return
-0.3%
Base case assumptions: 2.2% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 13.81x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Elevance Health Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for ELVOperating as a major health benefits organization, Elevance Health Inc. commits to guiding consumers, families, and communities across their entire health and wellness path. It facilitates access to vital care, assistance, and tools designed to enable healthier living for approximately 118 million individuals. The company's comprehensive offerings span medical, digital, pharmaceutical, behavioral health, clinical, and other care solutions. Founded in 1944 and based in Indianapolis, Indiana, this entity adopted its current name, Elevance Health Inc., in June 2022, having previously operated as Anthem, Inc.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$922.96
FCF/Share (TTM)
$28.86
ROIC (TTM)
6.3%
ROE (TTM)
11.2%
P/FCF
13.8x
EV/EBITDA
13.4x
FCF Yield
7.24%
Debt/Equity
0.69x
On a trailing twelve-month basis, ELV generates free cash flow per share of $28.86 alongside a ROIC of 6.3%, both central inputs for a DCF valuation. Its P/FCF ratio of 13.8x and FCF yield of 7.24% then frame how ELV is priced against peers on a cash flow basis.
Elevance Health Inc. currently generates $28.86 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $400.54, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
ELV trades at a P/FCF ratio of 13.8x with a free cash flow yield of 7.24%. A low P/FCF means investors are paying less per dollar of free cash flow; whether that is cheap depends on the company's growth, cyclicality, and capital intensity. However, whether ELV is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on Elevance Health Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($28.86) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Medical - Healthcare Plans industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting ELV's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.69x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Elevance Health Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Medical - Healthcare Plans trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. ELV's ROIC of 6.3% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For ELV, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 13.4x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value ELV with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.