Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ
Current Price
$191.95
Intrinsic Value
Outside reliable range
The base-case DCF model produces an intrinsic value estimate for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) that falls outside its reliable range, so treat any single number with extra caution. This usually happens with unusual cash flow patterns or rapid recent changes in the business.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Because the model output for CRWD is outside the reliable range, no undervalued or overvalued read is given here. Use the calculator below to test your own assumptions instead.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Dominant Cloud Security Platform
CrowdStrike's Falcon platform is a leader in cloud security, evidenced by its extensive customer base. This strong market position creates significant switching costs for clients.
↑Network Effects from Data
The vast amount of threat data collected across its large customer base enhances the AI and machine learning capabilities of the Falcon platform. This creates a virtuous cycle of improvement.
↑Ecosystem Lock-in
The integrated nature of CrowdStrike's security solutions encourages customers to adopt more modules. This deep integration makes it harder for customers to switch to disparate solutions.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Valuation and Investor Expectations
CrowdStrike's stock trades at a premium, reflecting high growth expectations. Any slowdown in growth or failure to meet these expectations could lead to significant stock price declines.
↓Customer Concentration
While the customer base is large, reliance on a few very large enterprise clients could pose a risk if any of them significantly reduce their spending or switch providers.
↓Stock-Based Compensation
High stock-based compensation, while common in tech, can dilute existing shareholders and impact reported profitability. This needs careful management to maintain investor confidence.
Base case
Base case assumptions: 20.0% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 30x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. respond.
Open DCF Calculator for CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. delivers cloud-native cybersecurity solutions. Its comprehensive suite safeguards endpoints, cloud workloads, user identities, and critical data. The company's offerings span a wide range, including threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, proactive threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management capabilities. CrowdStrike primarily generates revenue through subscription sales of its flagship Falcon platform and its array of cloud modules. These offerings are distributed globally via a direct sales force, augmented by an extensive network of channel partners. Established in 2011, the company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$5.02
FCF/Share (TTM)
$1.43
ROIC (TTM)
6.0%
ROE (TTM)
-0.6%
P/FCF
134.6x
EV/EBITDA
572.8x
FCF Yield
0.74%
Debt/Equity
0.18x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, CRWD shows a free cash flow per share of $1.43 and a ROIC of 6.0%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 134.6x and FCF yield of 0.74% are important context metrics when evaluating CRWD's stock valuation relative to peers.
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. currently generates $1.43 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $191.95, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
CRWD trades at a P/FCF ratio of 134.6x with a free cash flow yield of 0.74%. A high P/FCF means investors are paying more per dollar of free cash flow, which usually reflects expectations of future growth. However, whether CRWD is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
To perform a DCF valuation on CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($1.43) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Software - Infrastructure industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting CRWD's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 0.18x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Software - Infrastructure trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. CRWD's ROIC of 6.0% means the company's return on invested capital sits below the level that typically clears its cost of capital.
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For CRWD, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 572.8x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
DCF and P/E value CRWD with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.