Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation
Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE
Current Price
$59.05
Intrinsic Value
$50.77
-16.3% margin of safety
What Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Company's Intrinsic Value?
As of 2026-10-08, the base-case DCF model estimates the intrinsic value of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) at $50.77 per share, compared with a market price of $59.05, a margin of safety of -16.3%. The base case assumes -3.0% annual free cash flow growth and a 10.0% discount rate.
Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $38.61 to $65.09. Intrinsic value is an estimate built on assumptions, not a fact. A higher discount rate or slower growth pushes the estimate down, while stronger cash flow growth lifts it.
How the DCF works · Recalculate with your own assumptions · What is intrinsic value?
Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) Undervalued?
At the current price of $59.05, BMY trades above the base-case intrinsic value estimate by a meaningful margin. By this model the stock looks expensive, though faster growth than assumed would change the picture.
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Blockbuster Drug Portfolio
BMY possesses a portfolio of highly successful drugs with significant market share. These drugs generate substantial revenue and cash flow, funding further research and development.
↑Strong R&D Pipeline
A robust pipeline of drugs in various stages of development offers future growth potential. Successful drug development can lead to new revenue streams and market dominance.
↑Global Distribution Network
BMY's established global presence and distribution channels ensure broad market access for its products. This infrastructure is difficult and costly for competitors to replicate.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Clinical Trial Failures
The inherent risk of drug development means that promising candidates can fail in clinical trials. This can lead to significant financial losses and a weakened pipeline.
↓Competition from Biosimilars
Beyond traditional generics, biosimilars for biologic drugs pose a growing competitive threat. These can capture market share and reduce pricing power.
↓Pricing Pressures
Increasing pressure from governments and payers to lower drug prices could impact BMY's profitability. This trend is likely to continue and intensify.
Base case
BMY base case valuation
Intrinsic Value
$50.77
Margin of safety
-16.3%
Expected annual return
-3.0%
Base case assumptions: -3.0% annual growth, 10.0% discount rate, 10.66x exit multiple, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-08.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The intrinsic value changes significantly when the growth rate or discount rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the BMY valuation
Adjust the growth rate, discount rate, and exit multiple to see how the intrinsic value and margin of safety for Bristol-Myers Squibb Company respond.
Open DCF Calculator for BMYCompany Overview
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company operates as a global biopharmaceutical entity, actively involved in the research, development, licensing, production, and worldwide commercialization of its medicinal portfolio. The company's therapeutic areas span hematology, oncology, cardiovascular health, immunology, fibrotic conditions, neuroscience, and infectious diseases like COVID-19. Its significant pharmaceutical offerings include Revlimid, an oral immunomodulatory agent for multiple myeloma, and Eliquis, an oral anticoagulant crucial for reducing stroke risk and systemic embolism in non-valvular atrial fibrillation, as well as treating deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. The portfolio also features Opdivo, utilized across various anti-cancer indications; Pomalyst/Imnovid, prescribed for multiple myeloma patients; and Orencia, targeting active rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis in adults. Other key therapies are Sprycel, employed in the management of Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic myeloid leukemia; Yervoy, indicated for patients with unresectable or metastatic melanoma; and Abraxane, a protein-bound chemotherapy formulation. Furthermore, Bristol-Myers Squibb offers Reblozyl, addressing anemia in adult patients with beta thalassemia; Empliciti, another treatment option for multiple myeloma; and Zeposia, designed to treat relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. Revolutionary treatments like Breyanzi, a CD19-directed genetically modified autologous T cell immunotherapy for adult patients battling relapsed or refractory large B-cell lymphoma, are also part of its lineup. Completing its product range are Inrebic, an oral kinase inhibitor specifically for adult myelofibrosis, and Onureg, used in the treatment of adult patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Bristol-Myers Squibb distributes its pharmaceutical products through a diverse network encompassing wholesalers, distributors, pharmacies, retail outlets, hospitals, clinics, and governmental organizations. Founded in 1887 and formerly known as Bristol-Myers Company, the firm maintains its headquarters in New York, New York.
Financial Metrics — BMY Stock Valuation Data
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$24.09
FCF/Share (TTM)
$5.60
ROIC (TTM)
15.4%
ROE (TTM)
46.8%
P/FCF
10.5x
EV/EBITDA
9.3x
FCF Yield
9.38%
Debt/Equity
1.93x
Based on trailing twelve-month data, BMY shows a free cash flow per share of $5.60 and a ROIC of 15.4%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of 10.5x and FCF yield of 9.38% are important context metrics when evaluating BMY's stock valuation relative to peers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the intrinsic value of BMY?
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company currently generates $5.60 in free cash flow per share. At the current price of $59.05, a DCF model would discount these cash flows at an appropriate WACC and apply a terminal growth rate to arrive at an intrinsic value. The result depends heavily on your growth and discount rate assumptions — a 1% change in WACC typically shifts the fair value estimate by 10-15%. In MiniValuator the model uses a single discount rate that you can edit directly, 10% by default, rather than a computed WACC.
Is BMY undervalued?
BMY trades at a P/FCF ratio of 10.5x with a free cash flow yield of 9.38%. A low P/FCF means investors are paying less per dollar of free cash flow; whether that is cheap depends on the company's growth, cyclicality, and capital intensity. However, whether BMY is truly undervalued requires comparing the DCF intrinsic value to the current market price and evaluating whether the margin of safety is sufficient for your risk tolerance.
How do I value BMY stock using DCF?
To perform a DCF valuation on Bristol-Myers Squibb Company: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share ($5.60) as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Drug Manufacturers - General industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting BMY's risk profile — with a debt-to-equity of 1.93x, capital structure is an important factor, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.
What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to BMY?
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, this means projecting how much free cash flow the company will produce over the next 5-10 years, shaped by Drug Manufacturers - General trends, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. BMY's ROIC of 15.4% reflects how efficiently the company converts invested capital into profit.
How does WACC affect BMY stock valuation?
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For BMY, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.93x, the capital structure directly influences WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%. At an EV/EBITDA of 9.3x, the market's implied discount rate can be reverse-engineered for comparison. In MiniValuator you set this discount rate yourself as a single editable number, 10% by default, instead of computing a formal WACC.
Learn More
- See BMY PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
- DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
- Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
- How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors
Related Valuations
All Healthcare valuationsDCF and P/E value BMY with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the P/E fair value.
Price as of 2026-10-08. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.