The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis

Agricultural Inputs · NYSE

Current Price

$24.41

PE Ratio (TTM)

122.0x

Intrinsic Value

Outside reliable range

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyMOS

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Dominant Search Engine Market Share

Google's unparalleled search market share creates a powerful network effect. This scale drives massive data collection, improving search results and reinforcing its dominance.

Android Ecosystem Lock-in

The widespread adoption of Android provides a vast user base and developer ecosystem. This integration makes it difficult for competing mobile operating systems to gain traction.

Cloud Infrastructure Scale and Innovation

Google Cloud Platform benefits from immense scale and continuous innovation. This allows for cost efficiencies and advanced service offerings, attracting enterprise clients.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Dependence on Advertising Revenue

A significant portion of Google's revenue relies on advertising. Any downturn in ad spending or shifts in advertising platforms could materially impact profitability.

Talent Acquisition and Retention Challenges

Attracting and retaining top engineering and AI talent is crucial. Intense competition for skilled professionals could increase costs and slow innovation.

Execution Risk in New Ventures

Google's ambitious 'other bets' carry inherent execution risks. Failure to monetize these ventures could lead to significant investment write-offs.

Base case

MOS base case PE valuation

This PE estimate is more than double or less than half the market price, which usually means the model assumptions do not fit this stock. Cross-check it with the DCF valuation and analyst estimates.

Base case assumptions: 0.4% annual earnings growth, 50x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the MOS PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for The Mosaic Company respond.

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Company Overview

Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of phosphate-based products. These offerings encompass crucial agricultural fertilizers such as diammonium phosphate (DAP), monoammonium phosphate (MAP), and various ammoniated phosphate compounds. Additionally, Mosaic produces phosphate-derived ingredients for animal feed, primarily marketed under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, along with K-Mag, a unique double sulfate of potash magnesia product. Beyond phosphates, Mosaic is a key producer and vendor of potash. This versatile mineral finds application in compound fertilizer manufacturing, animal feed formulations, industrial processes, de-icing preparations, and as a regenerant for water softeners. The company further broadens its portfolio by providing nitrogen-based crop nutrients, supplemental animal feed ingredients, and a range of supporting services. It also actively engages in the procurement and resale of phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products. Mosaic's products reach a wide array of customers, including major wholesale distributors, extensive retail chains, agricultural cooperatives, individual farmers, independent retailers, and large national accounts. Incorporated in 2004, The Mosaic Company is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

Financial Metrics — MOS PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

122.0x

PEG Ratio

n/m

Earnings Yield

0.56%

ROE (TTM)

0.4%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$37.36

Dividend Yield

3.61%

Debt/Equity

0.51x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of MOS?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of MOS reflects how much investors pay per dollar of The Mosaic Company's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Agricultural Inputs peers and the company's own historical range.

Is MOS overvalued based on PE ratio?

MOS's PE of 122.0x combined with a PEG ratio of -1.31 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. MOS has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Agricultural Inputs, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value MOS stock using PE ratio?

To value The Mosaic Company using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (122.0x) against the Agricultural Inputs median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-1.31) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of MOS?

MOS's PEG ratio is -1.31, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (122.0x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because MOS has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for MOS stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how MOS is priced versus Agricultural Inputs peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

Related PE Valuations

All Basic Materials valuations

P/E and DCF value MOS with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.

MOS Stock Valuation — Free PE Ratio Analysis & Fair Value