Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis
Internet Content & Information · NASDAQ
Current Price
$40.87
PE Ratio (TTM)
13.7x
Intrinsic Value
$47.13
+13.3% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Tinder's Dominant Network Effect
Tinder's massive user base creates a powerful network effect, making it the go-to platform for a broad audience. This scale attracts more users, reinforcing its position.
↑Hinge's Differentiated User Experience
Hinge's focus on serious relationships and its unique prompt-based profiles attract users seeking deeper connections. This differentiation fosters loyalty and reduces churn.
↑Brand Recognition and Trust
Match Group brands, particularly Tinder and Hinge, benefit from strong brand recognition and established trust. This familiarity lowers customer acquisition costs and encourages adoption.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Regulatory Scrutiny on Data Privacy
Increasing global regulations around data privacy could impact Match Group's ability to collect and utilize user data, potentially affecting personalization and ad revenue.
↓Competition from Social Media Platforms
Broader social media platforms could integrate dating features, leveraging their existing user bases and network effects to compete directly with Match Group's offerings.
↓Dependence on Tinder's Performance
While Hinge is growing, Match Group remains heavily reliant on Tinder's continued success. Any significant decline in Tinder's engagement or revenue would disproportionately impact the company.
Base case
MTCH base case PE valuation
A base case PE valuation for MTCH estimates a fair value of about $47.13 per share, against a current price of $40.87. The model assumes 5.8% annual earnings growth, a 13.44x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$47.13
Margin of safety
+13.3%
Expected annual return
+2.9%
Base case assumptions: 5.8% annual earnings growth, 13.44x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-08-21.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the MTCH PE valuation
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Match Group, Inc. respond.
Open PE Calculator for MTCHCompany Overview
Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. The company's portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and other brands, built to increase users' likelihood of connecting with others. It provides tailored services to meet the various preferences of its users. Match Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Financial Metrics — MTCH PE Stock Valuation Data
PE Ratio (TTM)
13.7x
PEG Ratio
0.35
Earnings Yield
7.45%
ROE (TTM)
-303.6%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$15.09
Dividend Yield
1.91%
Debt/Equity
n/m
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PE ratio of MTCH?
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of MTCH reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Match Group, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Internet Content & Information peers and the company's own historical range.
Is MTCH overvalued based on PE ratio?
MTCH's PE of 13.7x combined with a PEG ratio of 0.35 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Internet Content & Information, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
How do I value MTCH stock using PE ratio?
To value Match Group, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (13.7x) against the Internet Content & Information median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (0.35) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
What is the PEG ratio of MTCH?
MTCH's PEG ratio is 0.35, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (13.7x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
Should I use PE ratio or DCF for MTCH stock valuation?
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how MTCH is priced versus Internet Content & Information peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
Learn More
- See MTCH DCF Valuation → — Intrinsic value via Discounted Cash Flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Step-by-step guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- DCF Methodology — Guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Ratio — Understanding the price-to-earnings ratio
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
Related PE Valuations
All Communication Services valuationsP/E and DCF value MTCH with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-08-21. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.