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››MTCH

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Internet Content & Information · NASDAQ

Current Price

$36.97

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate MTCH Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on Match Group, Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

Match Group, Inc. provides dating products worldwide. The company's portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Hinge, Pairs, PlentyOfFish, and OurTime, as well as a various other brands. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Financial Metrics — MTCH Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

18.5%

ROE (TTM)

-275.4%

FCF Yield

11.90%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, MTCH shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of 18.5%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of 11.90% are important context metrics when evaluating MTCH's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of MTCH?

The intrinsic value of MTCH depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is MTCH undervalued?

Whether MTCH is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $36.97. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value MTCH stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on Match Group, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Internet Content & Information industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting MTCH's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to MTCH?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For Match Group, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Internet Content & Information will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. MTCH's ROIC of 18.5% indicates strong capital efficiency, which supports higher growth assumptions in the DCF model.

How does WACC affect MTCH stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For MTCH, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • MTCH AI Moat & Risk Analysis → — AI-generated competitive moat and investment risk analysis
  • See MTCH PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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