Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Valuation — PE Analysis
Apparel - Retail · NYSE
Current Price
$273.51
PE Ratio (TTM)
24.8x
Intrinsic Value
$317.01
+13.7% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Off-Price Retailer Scale Advantage
Burlington leverages its large store footprint and purchasing power to secure desirable merchandise at lower costs. This scale allows for competitive pricing and a constantly refreshed inventory.
↑Brand Recognition and Customer Loyalty
The Burlington brand is well-established in the off-price retail sector. Customers recognize the value proposition and return for opportunistic shopping experiences.
↑Agile Inventory Management
Burlington excels at quickly acquiring and selling diverse merchandise, adapting to changing fashion trends and supplier opportunities. This dynamic approach differentiates it from traditional retailers.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Economic Sensitivity of Discretionary Spending
As an off-price retailer, Burlington's sales are highly dependent on consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns or reduced consumer confidence can significantly impact revenue.
↓Inventory Management Risks
The off-price model relies on opportunistic buying. Failure to effectively manage inventory, including markdowns and obsolescence, can lead to significant financial losses.
↓Shifting Consumer Preferences
Changes in fashion trends and consumer shopping habits, including a potential shift towards online or curated experiences, could negatively impact Burlington's traditional brick-and-mortar model.
Base case
BURL base case PE valuation
At a current price of $273.51, the base case PE valuation puts BURL fair value near $317.01 per share. That figure assumes 9.1% yearly earnings growth, a target PE multiple of 24.4x, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$317.01
Margin of safety
+13.7%
Expected annual return
+3.0%
Base case assumptions: 9.1% annual earnings growth, 24.4x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-07.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Customize the BURL PE valuation
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Burlington Stores, Inc. respond.
Open PE Calculator for BURLCompany Overview
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a prominent retail chain across the United States, offering a diverse selection of branded apparel and other consumer products. Its merchandise is heavily focused on current fashion trends, providing items such as women's ready-to-wear, men's clothing, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, and outerwear. Additionally, the company stocks toys, gifts, and various products for the home, baby, and beauty categories. As of January 29, 2022, Burlington Stores, Inc. maintained an extensive network of 837 outlets under its flagship Burlington Stores brand, two Cohoes Fashions locations, and a single MJM Designer Shoes store. These establishments are situated throughout 45 U.S. states and Puerto Rico. The enterprise was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.
Financial Metrics — BURL PE Stock Valuation Data
PE Ratio (TTM)
24.8x
PEG Ratio
0.82
Earnings Yield
4.10%
ROE (TTM)
39.8%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$191.19
Debt/Equity
2.95x
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the PE ratio of BURL?
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of BURL reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Burlington Stores, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Apparel - Retail peers and the company's own historical range.
Is BURL overvalued based on PE ratio?
BURL's PE of 24.8x combined with a PEG ratio of 0.82 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Apparel - Retail, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
How do I value BURL stock using PE ratio?
To value Burlington Stores, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (24.8x) against the Apparel - Retail median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (0.82) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
What is the PEG ratio of BURL?
BURL's PEG ratio is 0.82, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (24.8x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
Should I use PE ratio or DCF for BURL stock valuation?
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how BURL is priced versus Apparel - Retail peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For BURL, with a strong ROE of 39.8%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
Learn More
- See BURL DCF Valuation → — Intrinsic value via Discounted Cash Flow analysis
- PE Methodology — Step-by-step guide to PE ratio stock valuation
- DCF Methodology — Guide to discounted cash flow analysis
- PE Ratio — Understanding the price-to-earnings ratio
- Intrinsic Value — How to evaluate stock fair value
Related PE Valuations
All Consumer Cyclical valuationsP/E and DCF value BURL with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-10-07. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.