Steel · NYSE
Current Price
$54.84
PE Ratio (TTM)
32.1x
Intrinsic Value
$38.16
-43.7% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Scale and Integrated Operations
U. S. Steel operates large, integrated mills providing cost efficiencies. This scale allows for significant production volumes and a broad product offering.
↑Customer Relationships and Brand Recognition
Long-standing relationships with key industrial customers build loyalty. The 'U. S. Steel' brand carries recognition and trust in certain markets.
↑Strategic Asset Locations
Key facilities are strategically located near raw materials and major transportation hubs. This can reduce logistics costs and improve delivery times.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Cyclicality of the Steel Industry
Demand for steel is highly sensitive to economic cycles and industrial production. Downturns can significantly impact sales volumes and profitability.
↓Raw Material Price Volatility
The cost of key inputs like iron ore and coking coal can fluctuate significantly. This volatility directly affects production costs and profit margins.
↓Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure
The steel market is highly competitive, with numerous domestic and international players. This can lead to significant pricing pressure, limiting profitability.
Base case
A base case PE valuation for X estimates a fair value of about $38.16 per share, against a current price of $54.84. The model assumes -1.3% annual earnings growth, a 32.07x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$38.16
Margin of safety
-43.7%
Expected annual return
-7.0%
Base case assumptions: -1.3% annual earnings growth, 32.07x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2025-06-20.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for United States Steel Corporation respond.
Open PE Calculator for XUnited States Steel Corporation, established in 1901 and based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a prominent producer and supplier of flat-rolled and tubular steel goods. The company primarily operates across North America and Europe, organized into four distinct business divisions. The North American Flat-Rolled segment provides various products, including slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill items, in addition to raw materials such as iron ore and coke. This division caters to a broad clientele across industries like service centers, conversion operations, transportation, automotive, construction, container manufacturing, appliance production, and electrical applications. The Mini Mill segment specializes in hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and coated sheets, as well as electrical products. Its customer base encompasses the automotive, appliance, construction, container, transportation, and service center markets. Through U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), the company delivers slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, tin mill products, and spiral welded pipes. This European division serves construction, container, appliance and electrical, service centers, conversion, and the crucial oil, gas, and petrochemical sectors. Finally, the Tubular Products division manufactures specialized steel piping, including seamless and electric resistance welded steel casing and tubing products, along with standard, line, and mechanical pipes. These products are predominantly distributed to the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries. Beyond its core steel manufacturing, the corporation also maintains an involvement in the real estate business.
PE Ratio (TTM)
32.1x
PEG Ratio
n/m
Earnings Yield
3.11%
ROE (TTM)
3.4%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$69.57
Dividend Yield
0.36%
Debt/Equity
0.37x
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of X reflects how much investors pay per dollar of United States Steel Corporation's earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Steel peers and the company's own historical range.
X's PE of 32.1x combined with a PEG ratio of -0.36 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. X has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Steel, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
To value United States Steel Corporation using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (32.1x) against the Steel median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-0.36) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
X's PEG ratio is -0.36, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (32.1x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because X has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how X is priced versus Steel peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
P/E and DCF value X with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2025-06-20. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.