当前价格
$88.89
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 ServiceNow, Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise cloud computing solutions that defines, structures, consolidates, manages, and automates services for enterprises worldwide. It operates the Now platform for workflow automation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotic process automation, performance analytics, electronic service catalogs and portals, configuration management systems, data benchmarking, encryption, and collaboration and development tools. The company also provides information technology (IT) service management applications; IT service management product suite for enterprise's employees, customers, and partners; IT business management product suite; IT operations management product that connects a customer's physical and cloud-based IT infrastructure; IT Asset Management to automate IT asset lifecycles; and security operations that connects with internal and third party. In addition, it offers governance, risk, and compliance product to manage risk and resilience; human resources, legal, and workplace service delivery products; safe workplace applications; customer service management product; and field service management applications. Further, it provides App Engine product; IntegrationHub enables application to extend workflows; and professional, industry solutions, and customer support services. It serves government, financial services, healthcare, telecommunications, manufacturing, IT services, technology, oil and gas, education, and consumer products through direct sales team and resale partners. It has a strategic partnership with Celonis to help customers identify and prioritize processes that are suitable for automation. The company was formerly known as Service-now.com and changed its name to ServiceNow, Inc. in May 2012. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
ROIC (TTM)
10.1%
ROE (TTM)
15.0%
FCF Yield
5.05%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,NOW 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 10.1%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 5.05%,是评估 NOW 相对估值的重要参考指标。
NOW 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
NOW 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $88.89 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 ServiceNow, Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Software - Application行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 NOW 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 ServiceNow, Inc.,这意味着预测Software - Application在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。NOW 的 ROIC 为 10.1%,显示中等水平的资本回报。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 NOW,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。