当前价格
$23.03
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 The Mosaic Company 运行完整的 DCF 分析，自动填充基本面数据，可调节假设参数，含敏感性热力图。
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It owns and operates mines, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients primarily under the Biofos and Nexfos brand names, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under K-Mag brand name. The company also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the de-icing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, it provides nitrogen-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and other ancillary services; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, farmers, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
ROIC (TTM)
4.0%
ROE (TTM)
10.0%
FCF Yield
-7.30%
基于过去 12 个月的数据，MOS 每股自由现金流为 N/A，投入资本回报率（ROIC）为 4.0%，这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A，FCF 收益率为 -7.30%，是评估 MOS 相对估值的重要参考指标。
MOS 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率（WACC）和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上，因此敏感性分析至关重要。
MOS 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $23.03 的比较。正的安全边际（内在价值高于市价）暗示潜在低估，但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 The Mosaic Company 进行 DCF 估值的步骤：(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础，(2) 根据Agricultural Inputs行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长，(3) 选择反映 MOS 风险的折现率（WACC），(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF（折现现金流）根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 The Mosaic Company，这意味着预测Agricultural Inputs在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流，再折现到今天的价值。MOS 的 ROIC 为 4.0%，表明公司可能面临产生超过资本成本回报的挑战。
WACC（加权平均资本成本）是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 MOS，资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%，内在价值通常下降 10-15%。
