Travel Services · NASDAQ
Current Price
$270.13
PE Ratio (TTM)
15.5x
Intrinsic Value
$317.84
+15.0% margin of safety
COMPETITIVE MOAT
↑Brand Recognition and Loyalty
Expedia's established brands like Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo foster strong consumer recognition. This brand equity encourages repeat bookings and customer loyalty within its vast travel ecosystem.
↑Vast Supplier Network
Expedia's extensive network of hotels, airlines, and car rental partners provides a comprehensive inventory. This breadth of options makes it a go-to platform for travelers seeking diverse choices.
↑Data and Scale Advantage
The sheer volume of bookings generates valuable data on traveler preferences and market trends. This scale allows for optimized pricing, personalized recommendations, and operational efficiencies.
INVESTMENT RISKS
↓Regulatory Scrutiny
The travel industry faces potential regulatory changes concerning data privacy, antitrust, and consumer protection. These could impact Expedia's business model and operational costs.
↓Economic Sensitivity
As a discretionary spending business, Expedia is highly susceptible to economic downturns and recessions. Reduced consumer confidence and disposable income directly affect travel demand.
↓Geopolitical Instability
Global events such as pandemics, political unrest, or natural disasters can severely disrupt travel patterns. These unpredictable events can lead to significant revenue losses and operational challenges.
Base case
A base case PE valuation for EXPE estimates a fair value of about $317.84 per share, against a current price of $270.13. The model assumes 7.1% annual earnings growth, a 15.38x target PE multiple, and a 10% discount rate.
Intrinsic Value
$317.84
Margin of safety
+15.0%
Expected annual return
+3.3%
Base case assumptions: 7.1% annual earnings growth, 15.38x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-08.
This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.
Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Expedia Group, Inc. respond.
Open PE Calculator for EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. operates as a leading online travel company, serving customers both within the United States and across international markets. The enterprise structures its extensive operations into three primary divisions: Retail, Business-to-Business (B2B), and Trivago. Its comprehensive brand portfolio caters to diverse travel needs. Key retail brands include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel platform offering localized websites; Hotels.com, specializing in the marketing and distribution of lodging accommodations; and Vrbo, an online marketplace dedicated to alternative accommodation options. Other prominent travel booking websites under its umbrella are Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets. For the EMEA region, ebookers functions as an online travel agent, presenting travelers with a broad spectrum of choices, while Hotwire provides various travel booking services. Complementing these are CarRentals.com, an online car rental booking service; Classic Vacations, a specialist in luxury travel experiences; and Expedia Cruise, which guides travelers in booking cruises. In the B2B sphere, Expedia Partner Solutions offers travel and non-travel vertical services to a wide array of clients, including corporate travel management firms, airlines, travel agents, online retailers, and financial institutions. Egencia, another key brand, focuses specifically on delivering corporate travel management services. Further extending its reach, the portfolio also features Trivago, a hotel metasearch website that refers users to online travel companies and service providers, alongside Expedia Group Media Solutions. The company also provides online travel services through several regional brands like Wotif.com, lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Wotif.co.nz, and lastminute.co.nz. Beyond brand-specific offerings, Expedia Group, Inc. delivers loyalty programs, a wide array of hotel and alternative accommodation choices, and advertising and media services. Serving both individual leisure travelers and corporate clients, the company was initially founded as Expedia, Inc. in 1996. It subsequently rebranded to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018, and its headquarters are located in Seattle, Washington.
PE Ratio (TTM)
15.5x
PEG Ratio
0.17
Earnings Yield
6.50%
ROE (TTM)
184.8%
Revenue/Share (TTM)
$129.72
Dividend Yield
0.71%
Debt/Equity
4.70x
The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of EXPE reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Expedia Group, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Travel Services peers and the company's own historical range.
EXPE's PE of 15.5x combined with a PEG ratio of 0.17 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Travel Services, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.
To value Expedia Group, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (15.5x) against the Travel Services median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (0.17) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.
EXPE's PEG ratio is 0.17, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (15.5x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG below 1.0 means the P/E is low relative to the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.
PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how EXPE is priced versus Travel Services peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For EXPE, with a strong ROE of 184.8%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.
P/E and DCF value EXPE with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.
Price as of 2026-10-08. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.
This is an estimate, not investment advice.