当前价格
$357.22
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
Micron Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. It provides memory and storage technologies comprises DRAM products, which are dynamic random access memory semiconductor devices with low latency that provide high-speed data retrieval; NAND products that are non-volatile and re-writeable semiconductor storage devices; and NOR memory products, which are non-volatile re-writable semiconductor memory devices that provide fast read speeds under the Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels. The company offers memory products for the cloud server, enterprise, client, graphics, and networking markets, as well as for smartphone and other mobile-device markets; SSDs and component-level solutions for the enterprise and cloud, client, and consumer storage markets; other discrete storage products in component and wafers; and memory and storage products for the automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. It markets its products through its direct sales force, independent sales representatives, distributors, and retailers; and web-based customer direct sales channel, as well as through channel and distribution partners. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
ROIC (TTM)
27.7%
ROE (TTM)
40.8%
FCF Yield
5.48%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,MU 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 27.7%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 5.48%,是评估 MU 相对估值的重要参考指标。
MU 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
MU 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $357.22 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Micron Technology, Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据Semiconductors行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 MU 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Micron Technology, Inc.,这意味着预测Semiconductors在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。MU 的 ROIC 为 27.7%,表明资本效率较高,支持在 DCF 模型中使用较高的增长假设。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 MU,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。