REIT - Hotel & Motel · NASDAQ
当前价格
$18.84
内在价值
使用下方计算器估算
对 Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. 运行完整的 DCF 分析,自动填充基本面数据,可调节假设参数,含敏感性热力图。
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is an S&P 500 company and is the largest lodging real estate investment trust and one of the largest owners of luxury and upper-upscale hotels. The Company currently owns 74 properties in the United States and five properties internationally totaling approximately 46,100 rooms. The Company also holds non-controlling interests in six domestic and one international joint ventures. Guided by a disciplined approach to capital allocation and aggressive asset management, the Company partners with premium brands such as Marriott®, Ritz-Carlton®, Westin®, Sheraton®, W®, St. Regis®, The Luxury Collection®, Hyatt®, Fairmont®, Hilton®, Swissôtel®, ibis® and Novotel®, as well as independent brands. For additional information, please visit the Company's website at www.hosthotels.com.
ROIC (TTM)
6.2%
ROE (TTM)
11.5%
FCF Yield
6.65%
基于过去 12 个月的数据,HST 每股自由现金流为 N/A,投入资本回报率(ROIC)为 6.2%,这些是使用 DCF 方法进行股票估值的关键输入。P/FCF 比率为 N/A,FCF 收益率为 6.65%,是评估 HST 相对估值的重要参考指标。
HST 的内在价值取决于未来增长率、折现率(WACC)和终值假设。DCF 模型将预期自由现金流折现回现值——WACC 的小幅变化可能导致估算偏移 20% 以上,因此敏感性分析至关重要。
HST 是否被低估取决于 DCF 内在价值与当前市价 $18.84 的比较。正的安全边际(内在价值高于市价)暗示潜在低估,但置信度取决于增长率和折现率假设的可靠性。
对 Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. 进行 DCF 估值的步骤:(1) 以过去 12 个月每股自由现金流为基础,(2) 根据REIT - Hotel & Motel行业趋势和公司基本面预测未来 5-10 年的 FCF 增长,(3) 选择反映 HST 风险的折现率(WACC),(4) 加上预测期之后的终值。
DCF(折现现金流)根据公司未来的现金产生能力估算其当前价值。对于 Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.,这意味着预测REIT - Hotel & Motel在未来 5-10 年能产生多少自由现金流,再折现到今天的价值。HST 的 ROIC 为 6.2%,表明公司可能面临产生超过资本成本回报的挑战。
WACC(加权平均资本成本)是 DCF 模型中的折现率——反映投资者要求的最低回报。对于 HST,资本结构和股权风险溢价决定了 WACC。WACC 每提高 1%,内在价值通常下降 10-15%。