Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Fair Value & PE Analysis

Communication Equipment · NASDAQ

Current Price

$112.48

PE Ratio (TTM)

37.2x

Intrinsic Value

$127.67

+11.9% margin of safety

What Is Cisco Systems, Inc.'s Fair Value?

As of 2026-07-29, applying a 37.0x earnings multiple to Cisco Systems, Inc.'s (CSCO) earnings per share of $3.02 yields a fair value estimate of $127.67 per share, versus a market price of $112.48.

Fair value from earnings multiples is sensitive to the multiple you choose. Across the sensitivity grid the estimate spans $108.69 to $149.09. This is a relative estimate anchored to earnings, not a statement of fact. For a cash flow based view, see the intrinsic value estimate on the DCF page.

How the PE model works · Recalculate in PE mode · CSCO intrinsic value (DCF view)

Is Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Overvalued?

At $112.48, CSCO trades about 11.9% below its PE-based fair value estimate, a modest discount to its earnings power, though not enough to call it cheap outright.

Assessment by Charlie Wang, a former auditor

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyCSCO

COMPETITIVE MOAT

Extensive Enterprise Network Infrastructure

Cisco's deep integration into enterprise networks creates high switching costs. Organizations rely on its hardware and software for critical operations, making transitions difficult and expensive.

Broad Product and Service Ecosystem

The company offers a comprehensive suite of networking, security, and collaboration solutions. This integrated ecosystem fosters customer loyalty and creates a sticky platform for ongoing revenue.

Strong Brand and Customer Relationships

Cisco benefits from decades of trust and established relationships with large enterprises and service providers. This brand recognition and loyalty are difficult for competitors to replicate.

INVESTMENT RISKS

Slowing Enterprise IT Spending Cycles

Economic downturns or shifts in IT budget priorities can lead to reduced demand for Cisco's capital-intensive hardware. This directly impacts revenue and growth prospects.

Technological Obsolescence and Disruption

Rapid advancements in networking technology, such as software-defined networking and AI-driven infrastructure, could render existing Cisco solutions less competitive. Continuous R&D investment is crucial.

Geopolitical and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

Global political tensions and disruptions to manufacturing and logistics can impact Cisco's ability to produce and deliver its products. This poses a risk to revenue and operational efficiency.

Base case

CSCO base case PE valuation

Intrinsic Value

$127.67

Margin of safety

+11.9%

Expected annual return

+2.6%

Base case assumptions: 10.2% annual earnings growth, 37x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-07-29.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the CSCO PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Cisco Systems, Inc. respond.

Open PE Calculator for CSCO

Or try DCF Valuation for CSCO

Company Overview

Cisco Systems, Inc. is a leading global technology company focused on designing, producing, and marketing Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking equipment, software, and associated products within the communications and information technology industries. The company operates extensively across major regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, specifically covering Japan and China. Its comprehensive product lineup features switching solutions for both enterprise campuses and data centers. Cisco's enterprise routing segment is crucial for securely and reliably interconnecting public, private, wired, and mobile networks, ensuring vital connectivity across corporate campuses, data centers, and branch offices. Additionally, the company provides a range of wireless products offering seamless indoor and outdoor roaming for voice, video, and data applications. Security forms a significant pillar of its offerings, encompassing network defense, identity and access management, secure access service edge (SASE), alongside threat intelligence, detection, and response capabilities. For collaboration, Cisco delivers the Webex Suite, dedicated devices, contact center platforms, and communication platform-as-a-service (CPaaS). These end-to-end collaboration solutions are adaptable, available in cloud, on-premise, or hybrid environments, facilitating clients' migration to cloud-based systems. Moreover, their observability suite provides network assurance, monitoring, and analytics. Beyond its product portfolio, Cisco offers extensive customer support and services, including technical assistance, advanced professional services, and advisory consulting. The company serves a broad clientele, from small and large businesses to public institutions, governmental agencies, and service providers. Products and services are distributed directly by Cisco, as well as through a diverse network of system integrators, service providers, other resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. also engages in strategic collaborations with other industry players. Founded in 1984, the company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Financial Metrics — CSCO PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

37.2x

PEG Ratio

1.64

Earnings Yield

2.69%

ROE (TTM)

25.1%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$15.36

Dividend Yield

1.48%

Debt/Equity

0.64x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of CSCO?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of CSCO reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Cisco Systems, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Communication Equipment peers and the company's own historical range.

Is CSCO overvalued based on PE ratio?

CSCO's PE of 37.2x combined with a PEG ratio of 1.64 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. A PEG near 1.0 means the P/E is roughly in line with the earnings growth rate. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Communication Equipment, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value CSCO stock using PE ratio?

To value Cisco Systems, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (37.2x) against the Communication Equipment median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (1.64) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of CSCO?

CSCO's PEG ratio is 1.64, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (37.2x) by the expected earnings growth rate. A PEG near 1.0 means the P/E is roughly in line with the expected earnings growth rate. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for CSCO stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how CSCO is priced versus Communication Equipment peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For CSCO, with a strong ROE of 25.1%, both methods are worth using — PE for a market-relative check, DCF to stress-test whether fundamentals justify the price. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

Related PE Valuations

All Technology valuations

P/E and DCF value CSCO with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-07-29. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.