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››AI

C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Stock Valuation — DCF Analysis

Information Technology Services · NYSE

Current Price

$8.68

Intrinsic Value

Use the calculator below to estimate

Calculate AI Intrinsic Value

Run a full DCF analysis on C3.ai, Inc. with auto-filled fundamentals, adjustable assumptions, and sensitivity heatmap.

Company Overview

C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) software company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It provides C3 AI application platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI Ex Machina to for analysis-ready data; C3 AI CRM, an industry specific customer relationship management solution; and C3 AI Data Vision that visualizes, understands, and leverages the relationships between data entities. It also offers C3 AI applications, including C3 AI Inventory Optimization, a solution to optimize raw material, in-process, and finished goods inventory levels; C3 AI Supply Network Risk, which provides visibility into risks of disruption throughout the supply chain operations; C3 AI Customer Churn Management, which enables account executives and relationship managers to monitor customer satisfaction, as well as to prevent customer churn with AI-based and human-interpretable predictions and warning; C3 AI Production Schedule Optimization, a solution for scheduling production; C3 AI Predictive Maintenance, which provides insight into asset risk to maintenance planners and equipment operators; C3 AI Fraud Detection solution that identify revenue leakage or maintenance and safety issues; and C3 AI Energy Management solution. In addition, it offers integrated turnkey enterprise AI applications for oil and gas, chemicals, utilities, manufacturing, financial services, defense, intelligence, aerospace, healthcare, and telecommunications market segments. It has strategic partnerships with Baker Hughes in the areas of oil and gas market; FIS in the areas of financial services market; Raytheon; and AWS, Intel, Google, and Microsoft. The company was formerly known as C3 IoT, Inc. and changed its name to C3.ai, Inc. in June 2019. C3.ai, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Financial Metrics — AI Stock Valuation Data

ROIC (TTM)

-60.0%

ROE (TTM)

-55.6%

FCF Yield

-10.32%

Based on trailing twelve-month data, AI shows a free cash flow per share of N/A and a ROIC of -60.0%, key inputs for stock valuation using the DCF method. The P/FCF ratio of N/A and FCF yield of -10.32% are important context metrics when evaluating AI's stock valuation relative to peers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the intrinsic value of AI?

The intrinsic value of AI depends on assumptions about future growth rate, discount rate (WACC), and terminal value. A DCF model discounts projected free cash flows back to present value — small changes in WACC can shift the estimate by 20% or more, which is why sensitivity analysis is essential.

Is AI undervalued?

Whether AI is undervalued depends on comparing the DCF-derived intrinsic value to the current market price of $8.68. A positive margin of safety (intrinsic value above market price) suggests potential undervaluation, but the degree of confidence depends on the reliability of your growth and discount rate assumptions.

How do I value AI stock using DCF?

To perform a DCF valuation on C3.ai, Inc.: (1) Start with the trailing free cash flow per share as the base, (2) project future FCF growth over 5-10 years based on Information Technology Services industry trends and company fundamentals, (3) apply a discount rate (WACC) reflecting AI's risk profile, and (4) add a terminal value for cash flows beyond the projection period.

What is DCF valuation and how does it apply to AI?

DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates what a company is worth today based on its future cash generation. For C3.ai, Inc., this means projecting how much free cash flow the Information Technology Services will produce over the next 5-10 years, then discounting those amounts to today's dollars. AI's ROIC of -60.0% suggests the company may face challenges generating returns above its cost of capital.

How does WACC affect AI stock valuation?

WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the discount rate in a DCF model — it reflects the minimum return investors require. For AI, the capital structure and equity risk premium determine WACC. A 1% increase in WACC typically reduces the intrinsic value by 10-15%.

Learn More

  • See AI PE Valuation → — Earnings-based stock valuation using PE ratio analysis
  • DCF Methodology — Step-by-step guide to discounted cash flow analysis
  • PE Methodology — Guide to PE ratio stock valuation
  • WACC — Understanding the discount rate used in DCF
  • Margin of Safety — How to evaluate downside protection
  • How to Calculate Intrinsic Value — Complete guide for investors

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