Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Fair Value & PE Analysis

Auto - Manufacturers · NASDAQ

Current Price

$380.68

PE Ratio (TTM)

322.6x

Intrinsic Value

Outside reliable range

What Is Tesla, Inc.'s Fair Value?

The PE model output for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) falls outside its reliable range, often because earnings are unusually low, negative, or volatile. Treat any single fair value number with extra caution here.

How the PE model works · Recalculate in PE mode · TSLA intrinsic value (DCF view)

Is Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Overvalued?

Because the model output for TSLA is outside the reliable range, no overvalued or undervalued read is given here. Use the PE calculator below to test your own assumptions instead.

Assessment by Charlie Wang, a former auditor

AI MOAT & RISK ANALYSIS
AI Generated · For Reference OnlyTSLA

COMPETITIVE MOAT

↑Brand Loyalty and EV Leadership

Tesla's strong brand and early mover advantage in EVs foster significant customer loyalty. This allows for premium pricing and sustained demand.

↑Supercharger Network Dominance

The proprietary Supercharger network creates high switching costs for EV owners. It offers unparalleled convenience and reliability, a key differentiator.

↑Data and Software Ecosystem

Vast amounts of real-world driving data enhance Autopilot and FSD capabilities. This creates a virtuous cycle of improvement and user lock-in.

INVESTMENT RISKS

↓Execution Risk on New Ventures

Scaling Cybercab and Optimus requires significant capital and operational expertise. Delays or failures in these ambitious projects could impact growth.

↓Dependence on Key Personnel

Elon Musk's leadership is central to Tesla's vision and innovation. His departure or distraction could significantly disrupt the company.

↓Geopolitical and Supply Chain Volatility

Global political tensions and supply chain disruptions can impact production and raw material costs. This affects profitability and delivery timelines.

Base case

TSLA base case PE valuation

This PE estimate is more than double or less than half the market price, which usually means the model assumptions do not fit this stock. Cross-check it with the DCF valuation and analyst estimates.

Base case assumptions: 13.0% annual earnings growth, 50x target PE, 10% discount rate, 5 year projection. Data as of 2026-10-06.

This base case uses default assumptions and is not financial advice. The fair value changes significantly when the target PE or earnings growth rate changes. Open the calculator to set your own assumptions and see the full sensitivity range.

Customize the TSLA PE valuation

Adjust the target PE, earnings growth, and discount rate to see how the fair value and margin of safety for Tesla, Inc. respond.

Open PE Calculator for TSLA

Or try DCF Valuation for TSLA →

Company Overview

Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades often facilitated by the extensive Tesla Supercharger network. The company supports these acquisitions with financing and leasing options. Furthermore, it ensures vehicle upkeep through its proprietary service centers and a fleet of mobile technicians, complemented by both standard and extended vehicle warranty programs. The Energy Generation and Storage segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, setup, sale, and rental of solar power systems and energy storage products, along with associated services. This caters to a diverse clientele, spanning residential users, commercial enterprises, industrial entities, and public utilities. Distribution channels include Tesla's online platform, physical stores, galleries, and a network of collaborative partners. The company also offers servicing and repairs for its energy products, including warranty support, and provides multiple financing avenues for those investing in its solar solutions. Founded in 2003, the corporation was initially named Tesla Motors, Inc., before officially rebranding to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Austin, Texas.

Financial Metrics — TSLA PE Stock Valuation Data

PE Ratio (TTM)

322.6x

PEG Ratio

n/m

Earnings Yield

0.31%

ROE (TTM)

4.6%

Revenue/Share (TTM)

$32.01

Debt/Equity

0.11x

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the PE ratio of TSLA?

The trailing twelve-month PE ratio of TSLA reflects how much investors pay per dollar of Tesla, Inc.'s earnings. This metric is most useful when compared to Auto - Manufacturers peers and the company's own historical range.

Is TSLA overvalued based on PE ratio?

TSLA's PE of 322.6x combined with a PEG ratio of -8.59 provides a growth-adjusted perspective. TSLA has negative earnings, so its PE and PEG ratios are not meaningful here and cannot tell you whether the stock is over or undervalued. Keep in mind that PE-based valuation works best for profitable, mature companies — for high-growth or cyclical Auto - Manufacturers, a DCF analysis may be more appropriate.

How do I value TSLA stock using PE ratio?

To value Tesla, Inc. using PE: (1) Compare the current PE (322.6x) against the Auto - Manufacturers median to assess relative pricing, (2) check the PEG ratio (-8.59) to adjust for growth expectations, (3) review the 5-year PE range to identify where the stock sits historically, and (4) estimate fair value by multiplying a target PE by forward EPS estimates. This relative approach complements DCF's absolute valuation.

What is the PEG ratio of TSLA?

TSLA's PEG ratio is -8.59, calculated by dividing the PE ratio (322.6x) by the expected earnings growth rate. Because TSLA has negative earnings, its PEG ratio is not meaningful and should not be read as a sign of under or overvaluation. Note that PEG accuracy depends on the reliability of growth estimates.

Should I use PE ratio or DCF for TSLA stock valuation?

PE ratio gives a quick relative read — how TSLA is priced versus Auto - Manufacturers peers. DCF provides an absolute value based on projected free cash flows. For the most reliable valuation, use PE as a quick comparability screen and DCF for a deeper fundamental analysis. Each method has blind spots: PE ignores capital structure and cash flow quality, while DCF is sensitive to growth and discount rate assumptions.

Learn More

P/E and DCF value TSLA with different methods and assumptions, so the two conclusions can differ. Compare the DCF intrinsic value.

Price as of 2026-10-06. Financial data from Financial Modeling Prep (trailing twelve months) · Valuation methodology by Charlie Wang.

This is an estimate, not investment advice.